Recent Météo-France guidance highlights a cooler air mass arriving over northern France, positioning the lowest temperature in Paris on August 6 near 15–17°C and driving the 43% implied probability on 15°C. Overnight radiative cooling under largely clear, high-pressure conditions favors minimums around seasonal norms of 14–16°C rather than the warmer readings seen earlier in the week. Ensemble models show limited spread, with steering patterns keeping Atlantic influences modest and no strong warm advection expected before dawn. Traders are weighting the confirmed cooldown and stable forecast trends, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the final minimum across the 14–16°C thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のパリの最低気温は？
8月6日のパリの最低気温は？
15℃ 43%
16℃ 22%
14°C 16%
17°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
12℃以下
9%
13℃
9%
14°C
16%
15℃
43%
16℃
22%
17°C
11%
18°C
9%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C以上
2%
15℃ 43%
16℃ 22%
14°C 16%
17°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
12℃以下
$10 Vol.
9%
13℃
$0 Vol.
9%
14°C
$0 Vol.
16%
15℃
$0 Vol.
43%
16℃
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
11%
18°C
$0 Vol.
9%
19°C
$0 Vol.
1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance highlights a cooler air mass arriving over northern France, positioning the lowest temperature in Paris on August 6 near 15–17°C and driving the 43% implied probability on 15°C. Overnight radiative cooling under largely clear, high-pressure conditions favors minimums around seasonal norms of 14–16°C rather than the warmer readings seen earlier in the week. Ensemble models show limited spread, with steering patterns keeping Atlantic influences modest and no strong warm advection expected before dawn. Traders are weighting the confirmed cooldown and stable forecast trends, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the final minimum across the 14–16°C thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$10終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance highlights a cooler air mass arriving over northern France, positioning the lowest temperature in Paris on August 6 near 15–17°C and driving the 43% implied probability on 15°C. Overnight radiative cooling under largely clear, high-pressure conditions favors minimums around seasonal norms of 14–16°C rather than the warmer readings seen earlier in the week. Ensemble models show limited spread, with steering patterns keeping Atlantic influences modest and no strong warm advection expected before dawn. Traders are weighting the confirmed cooldown and stable forecast trends, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the final minimum across the 14–16°C thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$10終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Météo-France guidance highlights a cooler air mass arriving over northern France, positioning the lowest temperature in Paris on August 6 near 15–17°C and driving the 43% implied probability on 15°C. Overnight radiative cooling under largely clear, high-pressure conditions favors minimums around seasonal norms of 14–16°C rather than the warmer readings seen earlier in the week. Ensemble models show limited spread, with steering patterns keeping Atlantic influences modest and no strong warm advection expected before dawn. Traders are weighting the confirmed cooldown and stable forecast trends, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the final minimum across the 14–16°C thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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