Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 36°C in Beijing on August 6, driven by persistent summer high pressure, light southerly winds, and limited cloud cover that favors daytime heating. Historical August maxima average around 31–32°C, but current atmospheric conditions including elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect support slightly warmer outcomes, with afternoon convection offering the main uncertainty for whether readings reach 37–38°C or stay capped near 36°C. Traders weigh the latest model runs against typical diurnal ranges and any last-minute steering changes ahead of final CMA updates on August 5.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日の北京の最高気温は？
8月6日の北京の最高気温は？
37℃ 29%
36℃ 25%
38°C 19%
35℃ 16%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
30℃以下
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33℃
2%
34°C
13%
35℃
16%
36℃
25%
37℃
29%
38°C
19%
39°C
7%
40℃以上
5%
37℃ 29%
36℃ 25%
38°C 19%
35℃ 16%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
30℃以下
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$10 Vol.
2%
33℃
$10 Vol.
2%
34°C
$3 Vol.
13%
35℃
$2 Vol.
16%
36℃
$0 Vol.
25%
37℃
$0 Vol.
29%
38°C
$16 Vol.
19%
39°C
$96 Vol.
7%
40℃以上
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 36°C in Beijing on August 6, driven by persistent summer high pressure, light southerly winds, and limited cloud cover that favors daytime heating. Historical August maxima average around 31–32°C, but current atmospheric conditions including elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect support slightly warmer outcomes, with afternoon convection offering the main uncertainty for whether readings reach 37–38°C or stay capped near 36°C. Traders weigh the latest model runs against typical diurnal ranges and any last-minute steering changes ahead of final CMA updates on August 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$137終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 36°C in Beijing on August 6, driven by persistent summer high pressure, light southerly winds, and limited cloud cover that favors daytime heating. Historical August maxima average around 31–32°C, but current atmospheric conditions including elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect support slightly warmer outcomes, with afternoon convection offering the main uncertainty for whether readings reach 37–38°C or stay capped near 36°C. Traders weigh the latest model runs against typical diurnal ranges and any last-minute steering changes ahead of final CMA updates on August 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$137終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 36°C in Beijing on August 6, driven by persistent summer high pressure, light southerly winds, and limited cloud cover that favors daytime heating. Historical August maxima average around 31–32°C, but current atmospheric conditions including elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect support slightly warmer outcomes, with afternoon convection offering the main uncertainty for whether readings reach 37–38°C or stay capped near 36°C. Traders weigh the latest model runs against typical diurnal ranges and any last-minute steering changes ahead of final CMA updates on August 5.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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