Ongoing severe heatwave conditions driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system dominate South Korea, with clear skies, light winds, and high solar insolation supporting elevated daytime maxima across the Seoul-Incheon metro area. Recent national records, including 42.5°C in Yangsan on August 2, underscore the anomalous warmth, while AccuWeather guidance indicates highs near 36–38°C (97–99°F) for early August dates amid widespread KMA heatwave warnings. Model consensus favors peak temperatures clustering around 34–36°C on August 6, with limited precipitation or frontal passage expected to moderate readings. These factors underpin trader consensus around the 34–36°C band, though slight forecast revisions in steering flow or cloud cover could shift outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のソウル(仁川)の最高気温は?
35°C 40%
34°C 26%
36°C 18%
33°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
26%
35°C
40%
36°C
18%
37°C or higher
7%
35°C 40%
34°C 26%
36°C 18%
33°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
26%
35°C
40%
36°C
18%
37°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ongoing severe heatwave conditions driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system dominate South Korea, with clear skies, light winds, and high solar insolation supporting elevated daytime maxima across the Seoul-Incheon metro area. Recent national records, including 42.5°C in Yangsan on August 2, underscore the anomalous warmth, while AccuWeather guidance indicates highs near 36–38°C (97–99°F) for early August dates amid widespread KMA heatwave warnings. Model consensus favors peak temperatures clustering around 34–36°C on August 6, with limited precipitation or frontal passage expected to moderate readings. These factors underpin trader consensus around the 34–36°C band, though slight forecast revisions in steering flow or cloud cover could shift outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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