Market-implied odds for Taipei’s August 6 high center on 34–36 °C because short-range models show a persistent subtropical ridge delivering strong insolation and minimal cloud cover, while a weak easterly flow and high boundary-layer moisture limit extreme heating. Historical August climatology places average daily maxima near 32–33 °C, yet urban heat-island effects and occasional sea-breeze moderation create a narrow 2–3 °C spread around the most probable values. Recent Central Weather Administration guidance for early August indicates daytime peaks of 34–36 °C under partly cloudy skies, with afternoon convection the main variable that could cap the reading at 34 °C or allow brief clearing to push toward 36 °C. Traders weigh these factors against the low but non-zero risk of a passing disturbance that would increase cloudiness and lower the maximum. Updated model runs and official forecasts issued in the next 48 hours are expected to tighten the range before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日の台北の最高気温は？
8月6日の台北の最高気温は？
35°C 38%
36°C 29%
34°C 19%
37°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
6%
34°C
19%
35°C
38%
36°C
29%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 38%
36°C 29%
34°C 19%
37°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
28°C or below
$459 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
2%
31°C
$845 Vol.
2%
32°C
$366 Vol.
3%
33°C
$87 Vol.
6%
34°C
$115 Vol.
19%
35°C
$378 Vol.
38%
36°C
$1,792 Vol.
29%
37°C
$15 Vol.
6%
38°C or higher
$52 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds for Taipei’s August 6 high center on 34–36 °C because short-range models show a persistent subtropical ridge delivering strong insolation and minimal cloud cover, while a weak easterly flow and high boundary-layer moisture limit extreme heating. Historical August climatology places average daily maxima near 32–33 °C, yet urban heat-island effects and occasional sea-breeze moderation create a narrow 2–3 °C spread around the most probable values. Recent Central Weather Administration guidance for early August indicates daytime peaks of 34–36 °C under partly cloudy skies, with afternoon convection the main variable that could cap the reading at 34 °C or allow brief clearing to push toward 36 °C. Traders weigh these factors against the low but non-zero risk of a passing disturbance that would increase cloudiness and lower the maximum. Updated model runs and official forecasts issued in the next 48 hours are expected to tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$4,139終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds for Taipei’s August 6 high center on 34–36 °C because short-range models show a persistent subtropical ridge delivering strong insolation and minimal cloud cover, while a weak easterly flow and high boundary-layer moisture limit extreme heating. Historical August climatology places average daily maxima near 32–33 °C, yet urban heat-island effects and occasional sea-breeze moderation create a narrow 2–3 °C spread around the most probable values. Recent Central Weather Administration guidance for early August indicates daytime peaks of 34–36 °C under partly cloudy skies, with afternoon convection the main variable that could cap the reading at 34 °C or allow brief clearing to push toward 36 °C. Traders weigh these factors against the low but non-zero risk of a passing disturbance that would increase cloudiness and lower the maximum. Updated model runs and official forecasts issued in the next 48 hours are expected to tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,139終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETMarket-implied odds for Taipei’s August 6 high center on 34–36 °C because short-range models show a persistent subtropical ridge delivering strong insolation and minimal cloud cover, while a weak easterly flow and high boundary-layer moisture limit extreme heating. Historical August climatology places average daily maxima near 32–33 °C, yet urban heat-island effects and occasional sea-breeze moderation create a narrow 2–3 °C spread around the most probable values. Recent Central Weather Administration guidance for early August indicates daytime peaks of 34–36 °C under partly cloudy skies, with afternoon convection the main variable that could cap the reading at 34 °C or allow brief clearing to push toward 36 °C. Traders weigh these factors against the low but non-zero risk of a passing disturbance that would increase cloudiness and lower the maximum. Updated model runs and official forecasts issued in the next 48 hours are expected to tighten the range before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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