Recent heatwave conditions across South Korea, with record highs exceeding 40°C in early August, have elevated overnight minima in the Seoul-Incheon region through sustained high pressure, clear skies, and reduced radiative cooling. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate the August 8 low will likely settle near 26–28°C, with urban heat-island effects and light winds limiting further drops. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27°C versus 28°C reflects minor divergences among forecast runs on exact timing of any late-day cloud increases or marine air influence from the Yellow Sea, while lower-probability outcomes below 25°C would require an unforecasted frontal passage before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日のソウル(仁川)の最低気温は?
28℃ 45%
27°C 38%
26°C 19%
29°C 9%
21℃以下
2%
22℃
2%
23℃
4%
24℃
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
31%
27°C
38%
28℃
45%
29°C
9%
30℃
5%
31℃以上
3%
28℃ 45%
27°C 38%
26°C 19%
29°C 9%
21℃以下
2%
22℃
2%
23℃
4%
24℃
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
31%
27°C
38%
28℃
45%
29°C
9%
30℃
5%
31℃以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent heatwave conditions across South Korea, with record highs exceeding 40°C in early August, have elevated overnight minima in the Seoul-Incheon region through sustained high pressure, clear skies, and reduced radiative cooling. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate the August 8 low will likely settle near 26–28°C, with urban heat-island effects and light winds limiting further drops. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27°C versus 28°C reflects minor divergences among forecast runs on exact timing of any late-day cloud increases or marine air influence from the Yellow Sea, while lower-probability outcomes below 25°C would require an unforecasted frontal passage before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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