Trader sentiment centers on Hong Kong Observatory and model guidance projecting a minimum near 27°C for August 7, consistent with the 54% implied probability on that outcome. Subtropical summer conditions—elevated humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover or showers, and seasonal averages of 26–28°C—anchor the distribution, with 28°C and 26°C sharing the next tiers. The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures, amid a long-term warming trend, supports limited downside risk below 26°C. Short-term forecasts indicating showers on the 7th further constrain cooling potential, while any unexpected clear-sky window could allow a dip toward 26°C. Resolution hinges on the official verified low from the Observatory’s network.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日の香港の最低気温は？
8月7日の香港の最低気温は？
27℃ 53%
28°C 30%
26℃ 16%
29°C 5%
新規
$20,517 Vol.
新規
$20,517 Vol.
2026/08/07
21°C以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
4%
26℃
16%
27℃
53%
28°C
30%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31℃以上
<1%
27℃ 53%
28°C 30%
26℃ 16%
29°C 5%
新規
$20,517 Vol.
新規
$20,517 Vol.
2026/08/07
21°C以下
$501 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$561 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$521 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,448 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$1,467 Vol.
4%
26℃
$3,897 Vol.
16%
27℃
$2,760 Vol.
53%
28°C
$4,544 Vol.
30%
29°C
$2,737 Vol.
5%
30°C
$1,341 Vol.
<1%
31℃以上
$737 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment centers on Hong Kong Observatory and model guidance projecting a minimum near 27°C for August 7, consistent with the 54% implied probability on that outcome. Subtropical summer conditions—elevated humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover or showers, and seasonal averages of 26–28°C—anchor the distribution, with 28°C and 26°C sharing the next tiers. The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures, amid a long-term warming trend, supports limited downside risk below 26°C. Short-term forecasts indicating showers on the 7th further constrain cooling potential, while any unexpected clear-sky window could allow a dip toward 26°C. Resolution hinges on the official verified low from the Observatory’s network.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$20,517終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment centers on Hong Kong Observatory and model guidance projecting a minimum near 27°C for August 7, consistent with the 54% implied probability on that outcome. Subtropical summer conditions—elevated humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover or showers, and seasonal averages of 26–28°C—anchor the distribution, with 28°C and 26°C sharing the next tiers. The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures, amid a long-term warming trend, supports limited downside risk below 26°C. Short-term forecasts indicating showers on the 7th further constrain cooling potential, while any unexpected clear-sky window could allow a dip toward 26°C. Resolution hinges on the official verified low from the Observatory’s network.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$20,517終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on Hong Kong Observatory and model guidance projecting a minimum near 27°C for August 7, consistent with the 54% implied probability on that outcome. Subtropical summer conditions—elevated humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover or showers, and seasonal averages of 26–28°C—anchor the distribution, with 28°C and 26°C sharing the next tiers. The Hong Kong Observatory’s August–October outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures, amid a long-term warming trend, supports limited downside risk below 26°C. Short-term forecasts indicating showers on the 7th further constrain cooling potential, while any unexpected clear-sky window could allow a dip toward 26°C. Resolution hinges on the official verified low from the Observatory’s network.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問