Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models point to overnight lows near 17 °C for London on 8 August under clearing skies and light winds following a warm, humid spell. This underpins the market’s concentration around 16–17 °C, as radiative cooling under high pressure favors those values, while urban heat-island effects and variable cloud cover keep probabilities spread across 13–18 °C. Key variables include boundary-layer mixing from Atlantic fronts, exact timing of any showers, and model divergence on minimum humidity. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日のロンドンの最低気温は？
8月8日のロンドンの最低気温は？
16°C 32%
15°C 17%
14°C 14%
17°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/08
10℃以下
4%
11°C
8%
12°C
6%
13°C
11%
14°C
14%
15°C
25%
16°C
32%
17°C
13%
18°C
8%
19°C
2%
20°C以上
8%
16°C 32%
15°C 17%
14°C 14%
17°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/08
10℃以下
$10 Vol.
4%
11°C
$10 Vol.
8%
12°C
$0 Vol.
6%
13°C
$0 Vol.
11%
14°C
$0 Vol.
14%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
32%
17°C
$110 Vol.
13%
18°C
$0 Vol.
8%
19°C
$30 Vol.
2%
20°C以上
$10 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models point to overnight lows near 17 °C for London on 8 August under clearing skies and light winds following a warm, humid spell. This underpins the market’s concentration around 16–17 °C, as radiative cooling under high pressure favors those values, while urban heat-island effects and variable cloud cover keep probabilities spread across 13–18 °C. Key variables include boundary-layer mixing from Atlantic fronts, exact timing of any showers, and model divergence on minimum humidity. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$171終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models point to overnight lows near 17 °C for London on 8 August under clearing skies and light winds following a warm, humid spell. This underpins the market’s concentration around 16–17 °C, as radiative cooling under high pressure favors those values, while urban heat-island effects and variable cloud cover keep probabilities spread across 13–18 °C. Key variables include boundary-layer mixing from Atlantic fronts, exact timing of any showers, and model divergence on minimum humidity. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$171終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance and ensemble models point to overnight lows near 17 °C for London on 8 August under clearing skies and light winds following a warm, humid spell. This underpins the market’s concentration around 16–17 °C, as radiative cooling under high pressure favors those values, while urban heat-island effects and variable cloud cover keep probabilities spread across 13–18 °C. Key variables include boundary-layer mixing from Atlantic fronts, exact timing of any showers, and model divergence on minimum humidity. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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