Forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 13°C for London on August 6 under mostly clear conditions and light westerly flow, yet trader consensus clusters around 15–16°C. This positioning reflects lingering mild overnight patterns from a summer of 1.5°C-above-average minima, elevated North Sea sea-surface temperatures that suppress radiative cooling, and modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer humidity. Limited nocturnal mixing and recent high-pressure influence further support warmer lows than climatology, with resolution hinging on the precise 09:00–09:00 observational window and any last-minute adjustments to steering winds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のロンドンの最低気温は?
15°C 55%
16°C 23%
14°C 16%
13°C 10%
10°C or below
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
3%
13°C
10%
14°C
16%
15°C
55%
16°C
23%
17°C
9%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
15°C 55%
16°C 23%
14°C 16%
13°C 10%
10°C or below
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
3%
13°C
10%
14°C
16%
15°C
55%
16°C
23%
17°C
9%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 13°C for London on August 6 under mostly clear conditions and light westerly flow, yet trader consensus clusters around 15–16°C. This positioning reflects lingering mild overnight patterns from a summer of 1.5°C-above-average minima, elevated North Sea sea-surface temperatures that suppress radiative cooling, and modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer humidity. Limited nocturnal mixing and recent high-pressure influence further support warmer lows than climatology, with resolution hinging on the precise 09:00–09:00 observational window and any last-minute adjustments to steering winds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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