Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and model consensus point to a daily maximum of 24–26°C in Mexico City on September 19 under persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered showers tied to the seasonal monsoon pattern. High altitude (~2,240 m) enhances radiative cooling while afternoon convection and elevated humidity limit surface heating, keeping readings close to recent observed highs of 22–24°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 25°C, reflecting model agreement on modest warming before rain intensifies midday, with lower odds on 26°C+ hinging on any delay in cloud buildup or reduced precipitation. Updated NHC/NOAA-style guidance and local station data tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
9月19日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
25℃ 45%
26°C以上 32%
24℃ 19%
23℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
16℃以下
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
1%
22℃
2%
23℃
5%
24℃
19%
25℃
45%
26°C以上
32%
25℃ 45%
26°C以上 32%
24℃ 19%
23℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
16℃以下
$31 Vol.
<1%
17℃
$31 Vol.
<1%
18℃
$31 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$31 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$18 Vol.
1%
22℃
$403 Vol.
2%
23℃
$41 Vol.
5%
24℃
$372 Vol.
19%
25℃
$115 Vol.
45%
26°C以上
$369 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and model consensus point to a daily maximum of 24–26°C in Mexico City on September 19 under persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered showers tied to the seasonal monsoon pattern. High altitude (~2,240 m) enhances radiative cooling while afternoon convection and elevated humidity limit surface heating, keeping readings close to recent observed highs of 22–24°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 25°C, reflecting model agreement on modest warming before rain intensifies midday, with lower odds on 26°C+ hinging on any delay in cloud buildup or reduced precipitation. Updated NHC/NOAA-style guidance and local station data tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
音量
$1,476終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and model consensus point to a daily maximum of 24–26°C in Mexico City on September 19 under persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered showers tied to the seasonal monsoon pattern. High altitude (~2,240 m) enhances radiative cooling while afternoon convection and elevated humidity limit surface heating, keeping readings close to recent observed highs of 22–24°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 25°C, reflecting model agreement on modest warming before rain intensifies midday, with lower odds on 26°C+ hinging on any delay in cloud buildup or reduced precipitation. Updated NHC/NOAA-style guidance and local station data tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,476終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and model consensus point to a daily maximum of 24–26°C in Mexico City on September 19 under persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered showers tied to the seasonal monsoon pattern. High altitude (~2,240 m) enhances radiative cooling while afternoon convection and elevated humidity limit surface heating, keeping readings close to recent observed highs of 22–24°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 25°C, reflecting model agreement on modest warming before rain intensifies midday, with lower odds on 26°C+ hinging on any delay in cloud buildup or reduced precipitation. Updated NHC/NOAA-style guidance and local station data tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問