Recent India Meteorological Department guidance projects a 35°C maximum for Lucknow on September 19 amid partly cloudy skies and monsoon withdrawal signals, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–33°C due to ensemble forecast spreads. Persistent high humidity near 70–80%, variable northwest winds, and afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce cooling via cloud shading and localized rain, potentially suppressing peaks below official maxima. Clearer morning intervals could still permit brief rises toward 33°C if convection holds off, while denser cover or earlier showers favor the 31°C band. Updated model runs and IMD nowcasts ahead of peak heating remain the key near-term catalysts for any odds shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日のラクナウの最高気温は?
32℃ 35%
31℃ 28%
33℃ 21%
30℃ 13%
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
2%
30℃
13%
31℃
28%
32℃
35%
33℃
21%
34℃
7%
35℃
3%
36℃以上
<1%
32℃ 35%
31℃ 28%
33℃ 21%
30℃ 13%
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
2%
30℃
13%
31℃
28%
32℃
35%
33℃
21%
34℃
7%
35℃
3%
36℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent India Meteorological Department guidance projects a 35°C maximum for Lucknow on September 19 amid partly cloudy skies and monsoon withdrawal signals, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–33°C due to ensemble forecast spreads. Persistent high humidity near 70–80%, variable northwest winds, and afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce cooling via cloud shading and localized rain, potentially suppressing peaks below official maxima. Clearer morning intervals could still permit brief rises toward 33°C if convection holds off, while denser cover or earlier showers favor the 31°C band. Updated model runs and IMD nowcasts ahead of peak heating remain the key near-term catalysts for any odds shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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