Recent atmospheric moisture and forecast convection are anchoring trader consensus around a 32–33°C maximum in Lucknow today, with 32°C holding the slight edge at 41.5% implied probability. High humidity near 80%, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon drizzle or thunderstorms—consistent with IMD and Met Office guidance—reduce solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, capping peaks below clearer-day norms. Recent western disturbance influence and lingering post-monsoon moisture further suppress extremes, while any delay in cloud build-up could allow brief warming toward 34°C. Official IMD station readings, expected later today, will resolve the market based on the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のラクナウの最高気温は?
32°C 47%
33℃ 35%
31℃ 9%
34℃ 8%
$16,181 Vol.
$16,181 Vol.
27°C以下
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
1%
31℃
9%
32°C
47%
33℃
35%
34℃
8%
35℃
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C以上
<1%
32°C 47%
33℃ 35%
31℃ 9%
34℃ 8%
$16,181 Vol.
$16,181 Vol.
27°C以下
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
1%
31℃
9%
32°C
47%
33℃
35%
34℃
8%
35℃
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent atmospheric moisture and forecast convection are anchoring trader consensus around a 32–33°C maximum in Lucknow today, with 32°C holding the slight edge at 41.5% implied probability. High humidity near 80%, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon drizzle or thunderstorms—consistent with IMD and Met Office guidance—reduce solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, capping peaks below clearer-day norms. Recent western disturbance influence and lingering post-monsoon moisture further suppress extremes, while any delay in cloud build-up could allow brief warming toward 34°C. Official IMD station readings, expected later today, will resolve the market based on the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問