Recent official forecasts and observational data from agencies and models indicate a maximum temperature of 22°C in Amsterdam on August 29, 2026, under persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and southwesterly flow that limits diurnal warming. This aligns with climatological norms for late August in the region and explains the market's overwhelming consensus at that exact threshold. The high probability of precipitation and modest wind speeds further suppress any potential for brief spikes above this level. While updated model runs or unexpected breaks in cloud cover could theoretically allow a slightly higher peak, current conditions and the advanced stage of the day make significant deviations improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のアムステルダムの最高気温は?
22℃ 100.0%
17℃以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$37,602 Vol.
$37,602 Vol.
17℃以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
100%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27℃以上
<1%
22℃ 100.0%
17℃以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$37,602 Vol.
$37,602 Vol.
17℃以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
100%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts and observational data from agencies and models indicate a maximum temperature of 22°C in Amsterdam on August 29, 2026, under persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and southwesterly flow that limits diurnal warming. This aligns with climatological norms for late August in the region and explains the market's overwhelming consensus at that exact threshold. The high probability of precipitation and modest wind speeds further suppress any potential for brief spikes above this level. While updated model runs or unexpected breaks in cloud cover could theoretically allow a slightly higher peak, current conditions and the advanced stage of the day make significant deviations improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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