Esthela Damián Peralta leads the Guerrero governor market at 66.8% as the frontrunner in Morena’s internal selection process for the 2027 election, reflecting trader consensus on her positioning within the dominant coalition. Multiple aspirants registered in June 2026 for the party’s coordination role, including Beatriz Mojica Morga, Abelina López Rodríguez, Karen Castrejón Trujillo, Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros, and others, creating a crowded field resolved primarily through official surveys rather than external polling. Recent September 2026 surveys among Morena-PT-PVEM voters show Damián Peralta ahead at around 25%, narrowly outpacing Mojica, amid the coalition’s 43-52% statewide preference edge over the PRI and other parties. The election timeline and party dominance position the internal outcome as the primary driver of probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Esthela Damián Peralta 66.8%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 27.8%
Mario Moreno Arcos 2.2%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña 1.2%
$36,364 Vol.
$36,364 Vol.
Esthela Damián Peralta
67%
Beatriz Mojica Morga
28%
Mario Moreno Arcos
2%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
1%
Manuel Añorve Baños
1%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
1%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
1%
Julián López Galeana
1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
<1%
Alberto López Rosas
<1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
<1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Esthela Damián Peralta 66.8%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 27.8%
Mario Moreno Arcos 2.2%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña 1.2%
$36,364 Vol.
$36,364 Vol.
Esthela Damián Peralta
67%
Beatriz Mojica Morga
28%
Mario Moreno Arcos
2%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
1%
Manuel Añorve Baños
1%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
1%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
1%
Julián López Galeana
1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
<1%
Alberto López Rosas
<1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
<1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Esthela Damián Peralta leads the Guerrero governor market at 66.8% as the frontrunner in Morena’s internal selection process for the 2027 election, reflecting trader consensus on her positioning within the dominant coalition. Multiple aspirants registered in June 2026 for the party’s coordination role, including Beatriz Mojica Morga, Abelina López Rodríguez, Karen Castrejón Trujillo, Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros, and others, creating a crowded field resolved primarily through official surveys rather than external polling. Recent September 2026 surveys among Morena-PT-PVEM voters show Damián Peralta ahead at around 25%, narrowly outpacing Mojica, amid the coalition’s 43-52% statewide preference edge over the PRI and other parties. The election timeline and party dominance position the internal outcome as the primary driver of probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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