**Georgia's 13th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee at over 96% to win the November 2026 general election.** The district, covering Atlanta-area suburbs across Clayton, DeKalb, Gwinnett, Henry, Newton, and Rockdale counties, delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, including incumbent David Scott's 2024 reelection with roughly 72% of the vote. Scott's death in April 2026 triggered a special election that produced a Democratic runoff winner, underscoring the party's structural dominance. State Representative Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for the full term with a strong primary performance, while Republican Jonathan Chavez advanced unopposed. With the district's partisan voting index placing it well into safe Democratic territory, traders view a Republican upset as requiring unprecedented shifts in turnout or candidate-specific events. Low-probability scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major Democratic scandal, health-related withdrawal, or dramatic national political realignment, though historical results and current positioning make such outcomes remote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,455 Vol.
$39,455 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
97%
共和党
3%
$39,455 Vol.
$39,455 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$19,979 Vol.
97%
共和党
$19,477 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Georgia's 13th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee at over 96% to win the November 2026 general election.** The district, covering Atlanta-area suburbs across Clayton, DeKalb, Gwinnett, Henry, Newton, and Rockdale counties, delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, including incumbent David Scott's 2024 reelection with roughly 72% of the vote. Scott's death in April 2026 triggered a special election that produced a Democratic runoff winner, underscoring the party's structural dominance.
State Representative Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for the full term with a strong primary performance, while Republican Jonathan Chavez advanced unopposed. With the district's partisan voting index placing it well into safe Democratic territory, traders view a Republican upset as requiring unprecedented shifts in turnout or candidate-specific events. Low-probability scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major Democratic scandal, health-related withdrawal, or dramatic national political realignment, though historical results and current positioning make such outcomes remote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$39,455終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Georgia's 13th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee at over 96% to win the November 2026 general election.** The district, covering Atlanta-area suburbs across Clayton, DeKalb, Gwinnett, Henry, Newton, and Rockdale counties, delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, including incumbent David Scott's 2024 reelection with roughly 72% of the vote. Scott's death in April 2026 triggered a special election that produced a Democratic runoff winner, underscoring the party's structural dominance.
State Representative Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for the full term with a strong primary performance, while Republican Jonathan Chavez advanced unopposed. With the district's partisan voting index placing it well into safe Democratic territory, traders view a Republican upset as requiring unprecedented shifts in turnout or candidate-specific events. Low-probability scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major Democratic scandal, health-related withdrawal, or dramatic national political realignment, though historical results and current positioning make such outcomes remote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$39,455終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...**Georgia's 13th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee at over 96% to win the November 2026 general election.** The district, covering Atlanta-area suburbs across Clayton, DeKalb, Gwinnett, Henry, Newton, and Rockdale counties, delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, including incumbent David Scott's 2024 reelection with roughly 72% of the vote. Scott's death in April 2026 triggered a special election that produced a Democratic runoff winner, underscoring the party's structural dominance. State Representative Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for the full term with a strong primary performance, while Republican Jonathan Chavez advanced unopposed. With the district's partisan voting index placing it well into safe Democratic territory, traders view a Republican upset as requiring unprecedented shifts in turnout or candidate-specific events. Low-probability scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major Democratic scandal, health-related withdrawal, or dramatic national political realignment, though historical results and current positioning make such outcomes remote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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