Jaques Wagner holds the strongest market position for second place in Bahia's October 4 Senate contest because multiple late-August polls, including Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas, show him consistently ranking ahead of opposition contenders in second-vote or consolidated scenarios while Rui Costa leads overall. Both PT candidates benefit from the state's left-leaning electorate and shared coalition, yet Wagner's established Senate incumbency and regional name recognition sustain his edge even after earlier investigations. High undecided and blank/null shares (around 20-22 percent) plus the need for voters to select two distinct names keep the ordering among Angelo Coronel, João Roma, and smaller candidates fluid, limiting separation until final campaign weeks and turnout patterns clarify.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Jaques Wagner 60%
Angelo Coronel 17.2%
Rui Costa 14.5%
João Roma 5.3%
$30,076 Vol.
$30,076 Vol.
2026/10/04
Jaques Wagner
60%
Angelo Coronel
17%
Rui Costa
14%
João Roma
5%
Carlos Sodré
<1%
Gregorio Gould
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
<1%
Marcelo Millet
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
<1%
Professora Delliana
<1%
Jaques Wagner 60%
Angelo Coronel 17.2%
Rui Costa 14.5%
João Roma 5.3%
$30,076 Vol.
$30,076 Vol.
2026/10/04
Jaques Wagner
$19,191 Vol.
60%
Angelo Coronel
$1,506 Vol.
17%
Rui Costa
$4,601 Vol.
14%
João Roma
$989 Vol.
5%
Carlos Sodré
$652 Vol.
<1%
Gregorio Gould
$570 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
$488 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Millet
$673 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
$654 Vol.
<1%
Professora Delliana
$751 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jaques Wagner holds the strongest market position for second place in Bahia's October 4 Senate contest because multiple late-August polls, including Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas, show him consistently ranking ahead of opposition contenders in second-vote or consolidated scenarios while Rui Costa leads overall. Both PT candidates benefit from the state's left-leaning electorate and shared coalition, yet Wagner's established Senate incumbency and regional name recognition sustain his edge even after earlier investigations. High undecided and blank/null shares (around 20-22 percent) plus the need for voters to select two distinct names keep the ordering among Angelo Coronel, João Roma, and smaller candidates fluid, limiting separation until final campaign weeks and turnout patterns clarify.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
音量
$30,076終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jaques Wagner holds the strongest market position for second place in Bahia's October 4 Senate contest because multiple late-August polls, including Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas, show him consistently ranking ahead of opposition contenders in second-vote or consolidated scenarios while Rui Costa leads overall. Both PT candidates benefit from the state's left-leaning electorate and shared coalition, yet Wagner's established Senate incumbency and regional name recognition sustain his edge even after earlier investigations. High undecided and blank/null shares (around 20-22 percent) plus the need for voters to select two distinct names keep the ordering among Angelo Coronel, João Roma, and smaller candidates fluid, limiting separation until final campaign weeks and turnout patterns clarify.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$30,076終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Jaques Wagner holds the strongest market position for second place in Bahia's October 4 Senate contest because multiple late-August polls, including Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas, show him consistently ranking ahead of opposition contenders in second-vote or consolidated scenarios while Rui Costa leads overall. Both PT candidates benefit from the state's left-leaning electorate and shared coalition, yet Wagner's established Senate incumbency and regional name recognition sustain his edge even after earlier investigations. High undecided and blank/null shares (around 20-22 percent) plus the need for voters to select two distinct names keep the ordering among Angelo Coronel, João Roma, and smaller candidates fluid, limiting separation until final campaign weeks and turnout patterns clarify.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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