Russian forces continue incremental offensive operations in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka sector of Donetsk Oblast, aiming to advance toward Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka to straighten the frontline, disrupt Ukrainian logistics along the Siverskyi Donets-Donbas Canal, and support a broader push toward Druzhkivka, Kramatorsk, and Sloviansk. As of early September 2026, Russian milbloggers noted no confirmed advances in the immediate area on September 3-4, with Ukrainian positions in nearby settlements like Stinky and Mykolaivka posing ongoing challenges. Russian efforts rely on infantry assaults, drone strikes, and attempts to isolate Ukrainian supply routes, though overall territorial gains in Donetsk remain limited compared to prior periods. Ukrainian forces have conducted counteractions elsewhere, while both sides emphasize artillery, drones, and electronic warfare. Resolution depends on verified control of the settlement by the market's specified date amid fluid ground conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa Russia catturerà Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka entro...?
$204,464 Vol.
30 settembre
2%
31 dicembre
24%
$204,464 Vol.
30 settembre
2%
31 dicembre
24%
The train station will be considered captured if any part of the icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka1.png
Location in Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka2.png
Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka3.png
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZH4QxaEkdvhuK7xN9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 8, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...The train station will be considered captured if any part of the icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka1.png
Location in Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka2.png
Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka3.png
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZH4QxaEkdvhuK7xN9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...Russian forces continue incremental offensive operations in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka sector of Donetsk Oblast, aiming to advance toward Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka to straighten the frontline, disrupt Ukrainian logistics along the Siverskyi Donets-Donbas Canal, and support a broader push toward Druzhkivka, Kramatorsk, and Sloviansk. As of early September 2026, Russian milbloggers noted no confirmed advances in the immediate area on September 3-4, with Ukrainian positions in nearby settlements like Stinky and Mykolaivka posing ongoing challenges. Russian efforts rely on infantry assaults, drone strikes, and attempts to isolate Ukrainian supply routes, though overall territorial gains in Donetsk remain limited compared to prior periods. Ukrainian forces have conducted counteractions elsewhere, while both sides emphasize artillery, drones, and electronic warfare. Resolution depends on verified control of the settlement by the market's specified date amid fluid ground conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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