The September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election occurs in a tightly managed political environment with an electoral threshold of 5 percent for proportional seats and a mixed system that also includes single-member districts. United Russia maintains a commanding position in recent polls from state-linked pollsters, projected to secure a large share of seats through both lists and districts, while CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People consistently appear above the threshold in surveys. Eleven parties initially registered for the ballot after automatic qualification rules, though Yabloko’s federal list was later disqualified by court ruling in August. Recent party congresses and candidate selections have emphasized war veterans and regional figures for United Russia, alongside continued pressure on systemic opposition groups. These dynamics, combined with multi-day voting and electronic options, shape trader expectations around which established parties will clear barriers to representation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
20 set 2026
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
97%
Rodina
84%
Partito Russo dei Pensionati per la Giustizia Sociale
7%
Partito Ecologista Russo “I Verdi”
6%
$3,738 Vol.
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
$1,366 Vol.
97%
Rodina
$747 Vol.
84%
Partito Russo dei Pensionati per la Giustizia Sociale
$1,260 Vol.
7%
Partito Ecologista Russo “I Verdi”
$364 Vol.
6%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election occurs in a tightly managed political environment with an electoral threshold of 5 percent for proportional seats and a mixed system that also includes single-member districts. United Russia maintains a commanding position in recent polls from state-linked pollsters, projected to secure a large share of seats through both lists and districts, while CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People consistently appear above the threshold in surveys. Eleven parties initially registered for the ballot after automatic qualification rules, though Yabloko’s federal list was later disqualified by court ruling in August. Recent party congresses and candidate selections have emphasized war veterans and regional figures for United Russia, alongside continued pressure on systemic opposition groups. These dynamics, combined with multi-day voting and electronic options, shape trader expectations around which established parties will clear barriers to representation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
Volume
$3,738Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election occurs in a tightly managed political environment with an electoral threshold of 5 percent for proportional seats and a mixed system that also includes single-member districts. United Russia maintains a commanding position in recent polls from state-linked pollsters, projected to secure a large share of seats through both lists and districts, while CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People consistently appear above the threshold in surveys. Eleven parties initially registered for the ballot after automatic qualification rules, though Yabloko’s federal list was later disqualified by court ruling in August. Recent party congresses and candidate selections have emphasized war veterans and regional figures for United Russia, alongside continued pressure on systemic opposition groups. These dynamics, combined with multi-day voting and electronic options, shape trader expectations around which established parties will clear barriers to representation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$3,738Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election occurs in a tightly managed political environment with an electoral threshold of 5 percent for proportional seats and a mixed system that also includes single-member districts. United Russia maintains a commanding position in recent polls from state-linked pollsters, projected to secure a large share of seats through both lists and districts, while CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People consistently appear above the threshold in surveys. Eleven parties initially registered for the ballot after automatic qualification rules, though Yabloko’s federal list was later disqualified by court ruling in August. Recent party congresses and candidate selections have emphasized war veterans and regional figures for United Russia, alongside continued pressure on systemic opposition groups. These dynamics, combined with multi-day voting and electronic options, shape trader expectations around which established parties will clear barriers to representation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il partito Russia Unita (ER) otterrà il maggior numero di seggi nelle prossime elezioni parlamentari russe?
69%
Sì
Russia Unita vincerà tra 325 e 339 seggi nelle prossime elezioni della Duma di Stato russa?
37%
Sì
Il partito Russia Unita (ER) vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle prossime elezioni parlamentari russe?
99%
Sì
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