United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 310–324 seats and benefits from structural advantages in the mixed electoral system, including strong single-member district performance and administrative resources that have delivered consistent majorities in recent regional votes. State-affiliated polling places party support in the mid-to-high 40s percent range, while independent estimates show lower figures amid economic pressures and war-related strains, creating a spread that leaves the precise seat total open. The leading market ranges (325–339 and 340–354) reflect expectations of modest gains or stability rather than sharp shifts, with turnout management, opposition fragmentation, and any late campaign developments serving as the main variables that could consolidate sentiment around one bracket.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuanti seggi vincerà Russia Unita alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?
325–339 35%
340–354 23%
310–324 18.7%
355+ 13%
$185,694 Vol.
$185,694 Vol.
<280
3%
280–294
4%
295–309
7%
310–324
19%
325–339
35%
340–354
23%
355+
13%
325–339 35%
340–354 23%
310–324 18.7%
355+ 13%
$185,694 Vol.
$185,694 Vol.
<280
3%
280–294
4%
295–309
7%
310–324
19%
325–339
35%
340–354
23%
355+
13%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercato aperto: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 310–324 seats and benefits from structural advantages in the mixed electoral system, including strong single-member district performance and administrative resources that have delivered consistent majorities in recent regional votes. State-affiliated polling places party support in the mid-to-high 40s percent range, while independent estimates show lower figures amid economic pressures and war-related strains, creating a spread that leaves the precise seat total open. The leading market ranges (325–339 and 340–354) reflect expectations of modest gains or stability rather than sharp shifts, with turnout management, opposition fragmentation, and any late campaign developments serving as the main variables that could consolidate sentiment around one bracket.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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