The open field created by incumbent Mary Duniam’s decision not to recontest has produced a fragmented contest ahead of Tasmania’s October 27 local government elections, with trader consensus spread across multiple sitting councillors and other local figures. Dillon Roberts holds the highest implied probability among named candidates at 22.5 percent, followed by Chloe Foster at 14.5 percent, Michael Johnstone at 12.0 percent, and Leanne Raw at 11.5 percent, while remaining entrants sit lower. Nominations close September 21, after which the final ballot will be set. Recent council budget decisions on rates and capital works, together with the transition to an interim CEO, have drawn limited public attention so far. Any endorsements, candidate forums, or shifts in local priorities over the coming weeks could consolidate support and widen the gap among contenders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Waratah–Wynyard
Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Waratah–Wynyard
Dillon Roberts 23%
Michael Johnstone 12%
Leanne Raw 12%
Chloe Foster 6.6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ott 2026
Dillon Roberts
23%
Michael Johnstone
12%
Leanne Raw
12%
Chloe Foster
7%
Mary Duniam
3%
Kevin Hyland
1%
Dillon Roberts 23%
Michael Johnstone 12%
Leanne Raw 12%
Chloe Foster 6.6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ott 2026
Dillon Roberts
$746 Vol.
23%
Michael Johnstone
$1,048 Vol.
12%
Leanne Raw
$3,645 Vol.
12%
Chloe Foster
$1,183 Vol.
7%
Mary Duniam
$717 Vol.
3%
Kevin Hyland
$864 Vol.
1%
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open field created by incumbent Mary Duniam’s decision not to recontest has produced a fragmented contest ahead of Tasmania’s October 27 local government elections, with trader consensus spread across multiple sitting councillors and other local figures. Dillon Roberts holds the highest implied probability among named candidates at 22.5 percent, followed by Chloe Foster at 14.5 percent, Michael Johnstone at 12.0 percent, and Leanne Raw at 11.5 percent, while remaining entrants sit lower. Nominations close September 21, after which the final ballot will be set. Recent council budget decisions on rates and capital works, together with the transition to an interim CEO, have drawn limited public attention so far. Any endorsements, candidate forums, or shifts in local priorities over the coming weeks could consolidate support and widen the gap among contenders.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Volume
$8,203Data di fine
28 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open field created by incumbent Mary Duniam’s decision not to recontest has produced a fragmented contest ahead of Tasmania’s October 27 local government elections, with trader consensus spread across multiple sitting councillors and other local figures. Dillon Roberts holds the highest implied probability among named candidates at 22.5 percent, followed by Chloe Foster at 14.5 percent, Michael Johnstone at 12.0 percent, and Leanne Raw at 11.5 percent, while remaining entrants sit lower. Nominations close September 21, after which the final ballot will be set. Recent council budget decisions on rates and capital works, together with the transition to an interim CEO, have drawn limited public attention so far. Any endorsements, candidate forums, or shifts in local priorities over the coming weeks could consolidate support and widen the gap among contenders.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$8,203Data di fine
28 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The open field created by incumbent Mary Duniam’s decision not to recontest has produced a fragmented contest ahead of Tasmania’s October 27 local government elections, with trader consensus spread across multiple sitting councillors and other local figures. Dillon Roberts holds the highest implied probability among named candidates at 22.5 percent, followed by Chloe Foster at 14.5 percent, Michael Johnstone at 12.0 percent, and Leanne Raw at 11.5 percent, while remaining entrants sit lower. Nominations close September 21, after which the final ballot will be set. Recent council budget decisions on rates and capital works, together with the transition to an interim CEO, have drawn limited public attention so far. Any endorsements, candidate forums, or shifts in local priorities over the coming weeks could consolidate support and widen the gap among contenders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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