Michelle Dracoulis, the incumbent Derwent Valley mayor, holds the leading implied probability in the October 27, 2026 Tasmanian local government election as traders assess her re-election bid under the preferential voting system. Council actions during her term, including measures that returned the authority to a projected surplus and the appointment of a new CEO, have reinforced her position ahead of nominations opening September 7. A November 2025 no-confidence motion against her lapsed without broader councillor support. Limited public visibility or organized campaigns from challengers such as Jess Burns and James Randall, combined with the September 21 nomination deadline, has kept probabilities for most other candidates lower. The outcome remains subject to final candidate fields and voter preferences in the postal ballot.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMichelle Dracoulis 55%
Casey Farrell 14%
Jess Burns 2.5%
James Randall 2.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ott 2026
Michelle Dracoulis
55%
Casey Farrell
14%
Jess Burns
3%
James Randall
2%
Michelle Dracoulis 55%
Casey Farrell 14%
Jess Burns 2.5%
James Randall 2.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ott 2026
Michelle Dracoulis
$477 Vol.
55%
Casey Farrell
$438 Vol.
14%
Jess Burns
$351 Vol.
3%
James Randall
$138 Vol.
2%
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Michelle Dracoulis, the incumbent Derwent Valley mayor, holds the leading implied probability in the October 27, 2026 Tasmanian local government election as traders assess her re-election bid under the preferential voting system. Council actions during her term, including measures that returned the authority to a projected surplus and the appointment of a new CEO, have reinforced her position ahead of nominations opening September 7. A November 2025 no-confidence motion against her lapsed without broader councillor support. Limited public visibility or organized campaigns from challengers such as Jess Burns and James Randall, combined with the September 21 nomination deadline, has kept probabilities for most other candidates lower. The outcome remains subject to final candidate fields and voter preferences in the postal ballot.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$1,404Data di fine
28 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:20 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Michelle Dracoulis, the incumbent Derwent Valley mayor, holds the leading implied probability in the October 27, 2026 Tasmanian local government election as traders assess her re-election bid under the preferential voting system. Council actions during her term, including measures that returned the authority to a projected surplus and the appointment of a new CEO, have reinforced her position ahead of nominations opening September 7. A November 2025 no-confidence motion against her lapsed without broader councillor support. Limited public visibility or organized campaigns from challengers such as Jess Burns and James Randall, combined with the September 21 nomination deadline, has kept probabilities for most other candidates lower. The outcome remains subject to final candidate fields and voter preferences in the postal ballot.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$1,404Data di fine
28 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:20 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Michelle Dracoulis, the incumbent Derwent Valley mayor, holds the leading implied probability in the October 27, 2026 Tasmanian local government election as traders assess her re-election bid under the preferential voting system. Council actions during her term, including measures that returned the authority to a projected surplus and the appointment of a new CEO, have reinforced her position ahead of nominations opening September 7. A November 2025 no-confidence motion against her lapsed without broader councillor support. Limited public visibility or organized campaigns from challengers such as Jess Burns and James Randall, combined with the September 21 nomination deadline, has kept probabilities for most other candidates lower. The outcome remains subject to final candidate fields and voter preferences in the postal ballot.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti