Swiss voters will decide four measures on 29 November 2026: a federal decree raising VAT to provide extra funding for the AVS pension system, a popular initiative restricting fireworks, another initiative seeking to end tax discrimination against married couples through fairer federal taxation, and an amendment to the Federal Act on War Material. These ballots follow June’s rejection of the “No to ten-million Switzerland” population cap and a narrow approval of changes to the Civilian Service Act, illustrating voters’ willingness to support targeted fiscal adjustments while rejecting stricter immigration limits that could affect EU ties. The September votes on stricter neutrality rules and sustainable food production, scheduled just weeks earlier, could influence turnout and framing for the November package. Party positions, cantonal differences, and campaign spending will shape support, particularly for the pension funding decree and tax initiative, which touch core economic and social policy areas. No major new developments specific to the November items have emerged in the past month.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoReferendum di novembre in Svizzera: cosa passerà?
Decreto federale sull’IVA
60%
Iniziativa per la restrizione dei fuochi d'artificio
21%
Iniziativa sulla tassazione del matrimonio
25%
Emendamento sul materiale bellico
42%
$6,838 Vol.
Decreto federale sull’IVA
60%
Iniziativa per la restrizione dei fuochi d'artificio
21%
Iniziativa sulla tassazione del matrimonio
25%
Emendamento sul materiale bellico
42%
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 13, 2026, 8:06 PM ET
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...Swiss voters will decide four measures on 29 November 2026: a federal decree raising VAT to provide extra funding for the AVS pension system, a popular initiative restricting fireworks, another initiative seeking to end tax discrimination against married couples through fairer federal taxation, and an amendment to the Federal Act on War Material. These ballots follow June’s rejection of the “No to ten-million Switzerland” population cap and a narrow approval of changes to the Civilian Service Act, illustrating voters’ willingness to support targeted fiscal adjustments while rejecting stricter immigration limits that could affect EU ties. The September votes on stricter neutrality rules and sustainable food production, scheduled just weeks earlier, could influence turnout and framing for the November package. Party positions, cantonal differences, and campaign spending will shape support, particularly for the pension funding decree and tax initiative, which touch core economic and social policy areas. No major new developments specific to the November items have emerged in the past month.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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