Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Tom Cole secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 71 percent of the vote, bolstered by substantial fundraising exceeding $3 million and broad party support. The Democratic nominee, Mitchell Jacob, emerged from a competitive primary but faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans hold a significant voter registration and historical turnout advantage. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican Party aligns with these baseline conditions. Late developments such as a major national political shift, candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen legal issues could narrow the gap, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera OK-04
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera OK-04
$25,345 Vol.
$25,345 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
94%
Partito Democratico
6%
$25,345 Vol.
$25,345 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$14,515 Vol.
94%
Partito Democratico
$10,830 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Tom Cole secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 71 percent of the vote, bolstered by substantial fundraising exceeding $3 million and broad party support. The Democratic nominee, Mitchell Jacob, emerged from a competitive primary but faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans hold a significant voter registration and historical turnout advantage. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican Party aligns with these baseline conditions. Late developments such as a major national political shift, candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen legal issues could narrow the gap, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$25,345Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Tom Cole secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 71 percent of the vote, bolstered by substantial fundraising exceeding $3 million and broad party support. The Democratic nominee, Mitchell Jacob, emerged from a competitive primary but faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans hold a significant voter registration and historical turnout advantage. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican Party aligns with these baseline conditions. Late developments such as a major national political shift, candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen legal issues could narrow the gap, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,345Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Tom Cole secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 71 percent of the vote, bolstered by substantial fundraising exceeding $3 million and broad party support. The Democratic nominee, Mitchell Jacob, emerged from a competitive primary but faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans hold a significant voter registration and historical turnout advantage. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican Party aligns with these baseline conditions. Late developments such as a major national political shift, candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen legal issues could narrow the gap, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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