Recent polling aggregates project the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) at roughly 13-15% provincially ahead of the October 5 election, with seat forecasts centering on low double digits amid a fragmented five-party contest. Strength concentrated in the Capitale-Nationale and surrounding ridings under the new 127-seat map supports the 8-13 seat range that dominates current trader pricing, while weaker francophone support elsewhere caps upside. The CAQ’s recent surge to near parity with the PQ has tightened regional races without materially shifting PCQ numbers, and leader Éric Duhaime’s platform emphasis on pro-family measures has yet to produce measurable movement in the final campaign weeks. Further separation could arise from late polling swings in Quebec City battlegrounds, turnout differentials, or any high-profile candidate developments before voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato11-13 24%
8-10 15%
<5 13%
5-7 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ott 2026
<5
13%
5-7
10%
8-10
22%
11-13
24%
14-16
10%
17+
6%
11-13 24%
8-10 15%
<5 13%
5-7 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ott 2026
<5
$1,190 Vol.
13%
5-7
$321 Vol.
10%
8-10
$789 Vol.
22%
11-13
$907 Vol.
24%
14-16
$704 Vol.
10%
17+
$676 Vol.
6%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates project the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) at roughly 13-15% provincially ahead of the October 5 election, with seat forecasts centering on low double digits amid a fragmented five-party contest. Strength concentrated in the Capitale-Nationale and surrounding ridings under the new 127-seat map supports the 8-13 seat range that dominates current trader pricing, while weaker francophone support elsewhere caps upside. The CAQ’s recent surge to near parity with the PQ has tightened regional races without materially shifting PCQ numbers, and leader Éric Duhaime’s platform emphasis on pro-family measures has yet to produce measurable movement in the final campaign weeks. Further separation could arise from late polling swings in Quebec City battlegrounds, turnout differentials, or any high-profile candidate developments before voting.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
Volume
$4,586Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates project the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) at roughly 13-15% provincially ahead of the October 5 election, with seat forecasts centering on low double digits amid a fragmented five-party contest. Strength concentrated in the Capitale-Nationale and surrounding ridings under the new 127-seat map supports the 8-13 seat range that dominates current trader pricing, while weaker francophone support elsewhere caps upside. The CAQ’s recent surge to near parity with the PQ has tightened regional races without materially shifting PCQ numbers, and leader Éric Duhaime’s platform emphasis on pro-family measures has yet to produce measurable movement in the final campaign weeks. Further separation could arise from late polling swings in Quebec City battlegrounds, turnout differentials, or any high-profile candidate developments before voting.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$4,586Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates project the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) at roughly 13-15% provincially ahead of the October 5 election, with seat forecasts centering on low double digits amid a fragmented five-party contest. Strength concentrated in the Capitale-Nationale and surrounding ridings under the new 127-seat map supports the 8-13 seat range that dominates current trader pricing, while weaker francophone support elsewhere caps upside. The CAQ’s recent surge to near parity with the PQ has tightened regional races without materially shifting PCQ numbers, and leader Éric Duhaime’s platform emphasis on pro-family measures has yet to produce measurable movement in the final campaign weeks. Further separation could arise from late polling swings in Quebec City battlegrounds, turnout differentials, or any high-profile candidate developments before voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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