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icon for Elezioni generali in Quebec: terzo posto
Mondo·Canada

Elezioni generali in Quebec: terzo posto

icon for Elezioni generali in Quebec: terzo posto
Mondo·Canada

Elezioni generali in Quebec: terzo posto

PLQ 57%

CAQ 25%

PCQ 10%

PQ 7%

Polymarket
NUOVO

PLQ 57%

CAQ 25%

PCQ 10%

PQ 7%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for PLQ

PLQ

$1,213 Vol.

57%

icon for CAQ

CAQ

$745 Vol.

25%

icon for PCQ

PCQ

$489 Vol.

10%

icon for PQ

PQ

$924 Vol.

7%

icon for QS

QS

$828 Vol.

3%

icon for PVQ

PVQ

$474 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec locked in a close contest for first place ahead of the October 5 election, with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) trailing in third or fourth overall amid regional fragmentation. The PLQ maintains strength on Montreal Island but trails significantly among francophones elsewhere, while the CAQ has gained ground under new leader Christine Fréchette amid trade tensions with the United States. The Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire occupy narrower regional bases that limit their seat potential. These patterns sustain tight probabilities for third place, as vote efficiency and local contests in the 450 region and Quebec City area could shift outcomes. Traders' consensus reflects the uncertainty in how support consolidates before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.

If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$4,673
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec locked in a close contest for first place ahead of the October 5 election, with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) trailing in third or fourth overall amid regional fragmentation. The PLQ maintains strength on Montreal Island but trails significantly among francophones elsewhere, while the CAQ has gained ground under new leader Christine Fréchette amid trade tensions with the United States. The Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire occupy narrower regional bases that limit their seat potential. These patterns sustain tight probabilities for third place, as vote efficiency and local contests in the 450 region and Quebec City area could shift outcomes. Traders' consensus reflects the uncertainty in how support consolidates before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.

If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$4,673
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).

Correlati

icon for Il PLQ finirà al secondo posto nelle elezioni generali del Quebec?

Il PLQ finirà al secondo posto nelle elezioni generali del Quebec?

44%
Sì
icon for Il Parti Québécois vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni generali del Québec del 2026?

Il Parti Québécois vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni generali del Québec del 2026?

69%
Sì
icon for Il PQ vincerà meno di 50 seggi nell'Assemblea Nazionale del Quebec in queste elezioni?

Il PQ vincerà meno di 50 seggi nell'Assemblea Nazionale del Quebec in queste elezioni?

27%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni generali in Quebec: terzo posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "PLQ" a 57%, seguito da "CAQ" a 25%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 57¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 57% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni generali in Quebec: terzo posto" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 27, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni generali in Quebec: terzo posto", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni generali in Quebec: terzo posto" è "PLQ" a 57%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 57% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "CAQ" a 25%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni generali in Quebec: terzo posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.