Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois leading or tied with the Coalition Avenir Québec for first place ahead of the October 5 election, leaving the Parti Libéral du Québec and CAQ as the primary contenders for second in popular vote. The PLQ maintains stronger support among anglophones and allophones concentrated in Montreal, while the CAQ has surged in recent surveys by gaining among francophones and older voters amid concerns over U.S. trade tensions. This regional and demographic split, combined with shifting voter consolidation away from smaller parties like Québec solidaire, keeps second-place probabilities closely contested. Further campaign developments on economic issues or additional polling could widen the gap between the Liberals and CAQ before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPLQ 45%
CAQ 36%
PQ 18%
QS 2.4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
PLQ
45%
CAQ
36%
PQ
18%
QS
2%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 45%
CAQ 36%
PQ 18%
QS 2.4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
PLQ
$3,026 Vol.
45%
CAQ
$1,752 Vol.
36%
PQ
$1,113 Vol.
18%
QS
$978 Vol.
2%
PCQ
$553 Vol.
1%
PVQ
$829 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois leading or tied with the Coalition Avenir Québec for first place ahead of the October 5 election, leaving the Parti Libéral du Québec and CAQ as the primary contenders for second in popular vote. The PLQ maintains stronger support among anglophones and allophones concentrated in Montreal, while the CAQ has surged in recent surveys by gaining among francophones and older voters amid concerns over U.S. trade tensions. This regional and demographic split, combined with shifting voter consolidation away from smaller parties like Québec solidaire, keeps second-place probabilities closely contested. Further campaign developments on economic issues or additional polling could widen the gap between the Liberals and CAQ before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$8,251Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois leading or tied with the Coalition Avenir Québec for first place ahead of the October 5 election, leaving the Parti Libéral du Québec and CAQ as the primary contenders for second in popular vote. The PLQ maintains stronger support among anglophones and allophones concentrated in Montreal, while the CAQ has surged in recent surveys by gaining among francophones and older voters amid concerns over U.S. trade tensions. This regional and demographic split, combined with shifting voter consolidation away from smaller parties like Québec solidaire, keeps second-place probabilities closely contested. Further campaign developments on economic issues or additional polling could widen the gap between the Liberals and CAQ before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$8,251Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois leading or tied with the Coalition Avenir Québec for first place ahead of the October 5 election, leaving the Parti Libéral du Québec and CAQ as the primary contenders for second in popular vote. The PLQ maintains stronger support among anglophones and allophones concentrated in Montreal, while the CAQ has surged in recent surveys by gaining among francophones and older voters amid concerns over U.S. trade tensions. This regional and demographic split, combined with shifting voter consolidation away from smaller parties like Québec solidaire, keeps second-place probabilities closely contested. Further campaign developments on economic issues or additional polling could widen the gap between the Liberals and CAQ before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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