High voter engagement in Iceland’s August 29, 2026 referendum on resuming EU accession talks produced record turnout of 82.5 percent among roughly 270,000 eligible voters—the highest in a national vote since 2009. The close contest over fisheries sovereignty, currency stability, and Arctic security amid external pressures including U.S. policy toward Greenland drove advance voting above 23 percent of the electorate and stronger-than-usual participation in both urban and rural districts. Polling showed a near-even split, prompting widespread mobilization by the centre-left government and opposition groups. Market pricing places the greatest weight on the 80–85 percent band, consistent with trader consensus that sustained public interest and procedural factors would push participation well above historical parliamentary averages.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato65–70% 25.9%
60–65% 24.3%
<45% 22.4%
70–75% 20%
$1,464 Vol.
$1,464 Vol.
29 ago 2026
<45%
22%
45–50%
15%
50–55%
10%
55–60%
6%
60–65%
24%
65–70%
26%
70–75%
20%
75–80%
36%
80–85%
56%
Oltre 85%
2%
65–70% 25.9%
60–65% 24.3%
<45% 22.4%
70–75% 20%
$1,464 Vol.
$1,464 Vol.
29 ago 2026
<45%
$99 Vol.
22%
45–50%
$60 Vol.
15%
50–55%
$78 Vol.
10%
55–60%
$18 Vol.
6%
60–65%
$18 Vol.
24%
65–70%
$9 Vol.
26%
70–75%
$15 Vol.
20%
75–80%
$78 Vol.
36%
80–85%
$255 Vol.
56%
Oltre 85%
$836 Vol.
2%
A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.High voter engagement in Iceland’s August 29, 2026 referendum on resuming EU accession talks produced record turnout of 82.5 percent among roughly 270,000 eligible voters—the highest in a national vote since 2009. The close contest over fisheries sovereignty, currency stability, and Arctic security amid external pressures including U.S. policy toward Greenland drove advance voting above 23 percent of the electorate and stronger-than-usual participation in both urban and rural districts. Polling showed a near-even split, prompting widespread mobilization by the centre-left government and opposition groups. Market pricing places the greatest weight on the 80–85 percent band, consistent with trader consensus that sustained public interest and procedural factors would push participation well above historical parliamentary averages.
A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 9:21 PM ET
Volume
$1,464Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 9:21 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.High voter engagement in Iceland’s August 29, 2026 referendum on resuming EU accession talks produced record turnout of 82.5 percent among roughly 270,000 eligible voters—the highest in a national vote since 2009. The close contest over fisheries sovereignty, currency stability, and Arctic security amid external pressures including U.S. policy toward Greenland drove advance voting above 23 percent of the electorate and stronger-than-usual participation in both urban and rural districts. Polling showed a near-even split, prompting widespread mobilization by the centre-left government and opposition groups. Market pricing places the greatest weight on the 80–85 percent band, consistent with trader consensus that sustained public interest and procedural factors would push participation well above historical parliamentary averages.
A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$1,464Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 9:21 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...High voter engagement in Iceland’s August 29, 2026 referendum on resuming EU accession talks produced record turnout of 82.5 percent among roughly 270,000 eligible voters—the highest in a national vote since 2009. The close contest over fisheries sovereignty, currency stability, and Arctic security amid external pressures including U.S. policy toward Greenland drove advance voting above 23 percent of the electorate and stronger-than-usual participation in both urban and rural districts. Polling showed a near-even split, prompting widespread mobilization by the centre-left government and opposition groups. Market pricing places the greatest weight on the 80–85 percent band, consistent with trader consensus that sustained public interest and procedural factors would push participation well above historical parliamentary averages.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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