**Russia’s State Duma elections are set for 18–20 September 2026, with traders pricing the 50–53% turnout bracket highest (37.0%) followed by 53–56% (22.1%).** This consensus reflects the Kremlin’s explicit 50% turnout target, which regional administrations have been instructed to meet even after lowering United Russia’s vote-share goal to around 45%. State pollster VTsIOM reported 66% of respondents intending to vote, while independent surveys show lower awareness and enthusiasm amid economic slowdown and war-related fatigue. Administrative tools such as three-day voting, expanded remote electronic voting in roughly half the regions, and pressure on public-sector employees and students are expected to deliver the baseline figure. At the same time, efforts to “dry out” interest among opposition-leaning voters and the absence of competitive opposition limit upside momentum. Historical precedent from the 2021 election (51.7% turnout) and the unchanged official benchmark reinforce the 50–56% range as the most probable outcome under current conditions. Late-campaign mobilization or unexpected apathy could still shift results within the narrow window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
50-53% 37%
53-56% 22.1%
62%+ 11.5%
59-62% 11.1%
$39,484 Vol.
$39,484 Vol.
19 set 2026
<47%
5%
47-50%
8%
50-53%
37%
53-56%
22%
56-59%
11%
59-62%
11%
62%+
12%
50-53% 37%
53-56% 22.1%
62%+ 11.5%
59-62% 11.1%
$39,484 Vol.
$39,484 Vol.
19 set 2026
<47%
$1,711 Vol.
5%
47-50%
$5,324 Vol.
8%
50-53%
$4,008 Vol.
37%
53-56%
$2,797 Vol.
22%
56-59%
$5,191 Vol.
11%
59-62%
$4,465 Vol.
11%
62%+
$15,988 Vol.
12%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.**Russia’s State Duma elections are set for 18–20 September 2026, with traders pricing the 50–53% turnout bracket highest (37.0%) followed by 53–56% (22.1%).** This consensus reflects the Kremlin’s explicit 50% turnout target, which regional administrations have been instructed to meet even after lowering United Russia’s vote-share goal to around 45%. State pollster VTsIOM reported 66% of respondents intending to vote, while independent surveys show lower awareness and enthusiasm amid economic slowdown and war-related fatigue.
Administrative tools such as three-day voting, expanded remote electronic voting in roughly half the regions, and pressure on public-sector employees and students are expected to deliver the baseline figure. At the same time, efforts to “dry out” interest among opposition-leaning voters and the absence of competitive opposition limit upside momentum. Historical precedent from the 2021 election (51.7% turnout) and the unchanged official benchmark reinforce the 50–56% range as the most probable outcome under current conditions. Late-campaign mobilization or unexpected apathy could still shift results within the narrow window.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Mercato aperto: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Volume
$39,484Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.**Russia’s State Duma elections are set for 18–20 September 2026, with traders pricing the 50–53% turnout bracket highest (37.0%) followed by 53–56% (22.1%).** This consensus reflects the Kremlin’s explicit 50% turnout target, which regional administrations have been instructed to meet even after lowering United Russia’s vote-share goal to around 45%. State pollster VTsIOM reported 66% of respondents intending to vote, while independent surveys show lower awareness and enthusiasm amid economic slowdown and war-related fatigue.
Administrative tools such as three-day voting, expanded remote electronic voting in roughly half the regions, and pressure on public-sector employees and students are expected to deliver the baseline figure. At the same time, efforts to “dry out” interest among opposition-leaning voters and the absence of competitive opposition limit upside momentum. Historical precedent from the 2021 election (51.7% turnout) and the unchanged official benchmark reinforce the 50–56% range as the most probable outcome under current conditions. Late-campaign mobilization or unexpected apathy could still shift results within the narrow window.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$39,484Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Russia’s State Duma elections are set for 18–20 September 2026, with traders pricing the 50–53% turnout bracket highest (37.0%) followed by 53–56% (22.1%).** This consensus reflects the Kremlin’s explicit 50% turnout target, which regional administrations have been instructed to meet even after lowering United Russia’s vote-share goal to around 45%. State pollster VTsIOM reported 66% of respondents intending to vote, while independent surveys show lower awareness and enthusiasm amid economic slowdown and war-related fatigue. Administrative tools such as three-day voting, expanded remote electronic voting in roughly half the regions, and pressure on public-sector employees and students are expected to deliver the baseline figure. At the same time, efforts to “dry out” interest among opposition-leaning voters and the absence of competitive opposition limit upside momentum. Historical precedent from the 2021 election (51.7% turnout) and the unchanged official benchmark reinforce the 50–56% range as the most probable outcome under current conditions. Late-campaign mobilization or unexpected apathy could still shift results within the narrow window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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