New Hampshire's 1st congressional district remains a Democratic-leaning seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the open status created by incumbent Chris Pappas's Senate bid. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an 86.3% implied probability of victory, reflecting the district's consistent partisan tilt, strong early polling leads for Democratic primary contenders such as Stefany Shaheen, and a crowded but less established Republican primary field. With primaries set for September 8, 2026, recent candidate filings and fundraising reports have reinforced expectations of a Democratic hold, while limited Republican momentum has kept their odds at 12.5%. The race could tighten depending on nominee quality and national midterm dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNH-01 House Election Winner
NH-01 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$5,726 Vol.
86%
Republican Party
$3,047 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Hampshire's 1st congressional district remains a Democratic-leaning seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the open status created by incumbent Chris Pappas's Senate bid. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an 86.3% implied probability of victory, reflecting the district's consistent partisan tilt, strong early polling leads for Democratic primary contenders such as Stefany Shaheen, and a crowded but less established Republican primary field. With primaries set for September 8, 2026, recent candidate filings and fundraising reports have reinforced expectations of a Democratic hold, while limited Republican momentum has kept their odds at 12.5%. The race could tighten depending on nominee quality and national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$8,774Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Hampshire's 1st congressional district remains a Democratic-leaning seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the open status created by incumbent Chris Pappas's Senate bid. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an 86.3% implied probability of victory, reflecting the district's consistent partisan tilt, strong early polling leads for Democratic primary contenders such as Stefany Shaheen, and a crowded but less established Republican primary field. With primaries set for September 8, 2026, recent candidate filings and fundraising reports have reinforced expectations of a Democratic hold, while limited Republican momentum has kept their odds at 12.5%. The race could tighten depending on nominee quality and national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,774Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Hampshire's 1st congressional district remains a Democratic-leaning seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the open status created by incumbent Chris Pappas's Senate bid. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an 86.3% implied probability of victory, reflecting the district's consistent partisan tilt, strong early polling leads for Democratic primary contenders such as Stefany Shaheen, and a crowded but less established Republican primary field. With primaries set for September 8, 2026, recent candidate filings and fundraising reports have reinforced expectations of a Democratic hold, while limited Republican momentum has kept their odds at 12.5%. The race could tighten depending on nominee quality and national midterm dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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