Maryland’s 2nd congressional district carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, supporting the current trader consensus that heavily favors the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Johnny Olszewski Jr., who won his party’s June 2026 primary by a wide margin after serving as Baltimore County Executive, faces Republican Dave Wallace in the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s Baltimore County and suburban voter base. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the absence of competitive polling indicate limited pathways for an upset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMD-02 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
MD-02 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$12,812 Vol.
$12,812 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$12,812 Vol.
$12,812 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$10,118 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$2,694 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 2nd congressional district carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, supporting the current trader consensus that heavily favors the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Johnny Olszewski Jr., who won his party’s June 2026 primary by a wide margin after serving as Baltimore County Executive, faces Republican Dave Wallace in the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s Baltimore County and suburban voter base. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the absence of competitive polling indicate limited pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$12,812Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 2nd congressional district carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, supporting the current trader consensus that heavily favors the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Johnny Olszewski Jr., who won his party’s June 2026 primary by a wide margin after serving as Baltimore County Executive, faces Republican Dave Wallace in the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s Baltimore County and suburban voter base. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the absence of competitive polling indicate limited pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,812Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 2nd congressional district carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, supporting the current trader consensus that heavily favors the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Johnny Olszewski Jr., who won his party’s June 2026 primary by a wide margin after serving as Baltimore County Executive, faces Republican Dave Wallace in the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s Baltimore County and suburban voter base. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the absence of competitive polling indicate limited pathways for an upset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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