Forecast models from agencies like IMGW and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on August 31 will likely settle between 15–17°C, driven by moderating southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiative cooling after a mild August 30. Higher probabilities clustered near 17°C reflect expectations of partial clearing and modest dew points around 13–15°C, while 15°C odds account for potential thicker stratus or brief showers enhancing evaporative cooling. The 20°C+ outcome at 31% captures residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing if winds strengthen. Resolution hinges on official station minima, with final model runs and surface observations due overnight providing the last key inputs before the daily low is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 31 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 31 agosto?
20°C or higher 58%
17°C 39%
15°C 35%
16°C 29%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
<1%
13°C
11%
14°C
23%
15°C
35%
16°C
29%
17°C
39%
18°C
20%
19°C
19%
20°C or higher
58%
20°C or higher 58%
17°C 39%
15°C 35%
16°C 29%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
10°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$130 Vol.
3%
12°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$48 Vol.
11%
14°C
$0 Vol.
23%
15°C
$0 Vol.
35%
16°C
$0 Vol.
29%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C
$0 Vol.
20%
19°C
$0 Vol.
19%
20°C or higher
$155 Vol.
58%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like IMGW and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on August 31 will likely settle between 15–17°C, driven by moderating southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiative cooling after a mild August 30. Higher probabilities clustered near 17°C reflect expectations of partial clearing and modest dew points around 13–15°C, while 15°C odds account for potential thicker stratus or brief showers enhancing evaporative cooling. The 20°C+ outcome at 31% captures residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing if winds strengthen. Resolution hinges on official station minima, with final model runs and surface observations due overnight providing the last key inputs before the daily low is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$478Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like IMGW and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on August 31 will likely settle between 15–17°C, driven by moderating southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiative cooling after a mild August 30. Higher probabilities clustered near 17°C reflect expectations of partial clearing and modest dew points around 13–15°C, while 15°C odds account for potential thicker stratus or brief showers enhancing evaporative cooling. The 20°C+ outcome at 31% captures residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing if winds strengthen. Resolution hinges on official station minima, with final model runs and surface observations due overnight providing the last key inputs before the daily low is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$478Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like IMGW and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on August 31 will likely settle between 15–17°C, driven by moderating southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiative cooling after a mild August 30. Higher probabilities clustered near 17°C reflect expectations of partial clearing and modest dew points around 13–15°C, while 15°C odds account for potential thicker stratus or brief showers enhancing evaporative cooling. The 20°C+ outcome at 31% captures residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing if winds strengthen. Resolution hinges on official station minima, with final model runs and surface observations due overnight providing the last key inputs before the daily low is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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