Forecast models from multiple sources project Shenzhen's overnight low on August 31 near 25–26°C, with some runs showing 27°C under sustained cloud cover and high dew points around 25°C that limit radiative cooling. Persistent moisture from regional monsoon patterns and scattered thunderstorms maintains elevated humidity above 85%, reducing temperature drops despite light northeasterly winds. Historical August minima average near 25°C, but recent days have featured minimal diurnal ranges due to overcast skies. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact rainfall timing, keeping 26°C and 27°C outcomes nearly tied in trader consensus while lower thresholds reflect downside risks if clearer skies emerge. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the minimum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shenzhen il 31 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shenzhen il 31 agosto?
23°C 48%
24°C 47%
26°C 46%
22°C or below 42%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
22°C or below
42%
23°C
48%
24°C
47%
25°C
38%
26°C
46%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
23°C 48%
24°C 47%
26°C 46%
22°C or below 42%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
22°C or below
$140 Vol.
42%
23°C
$0 Vol.
48%
24°C
$0 Vol.
47%
25°C
$0 Vol.
38%
26°C
$0 Vol.
46%
27°C
$257 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$223 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$97 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$430 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources project Shenzhen's overnight low on August 31 near 25–26°C, with some runs showing 27°C under sustained cloud cover and high dew points around 25°C that limit radiative cooling. Persistent moisture from regional monsoon patterns and scattered thunderstorms maintains elevated humidity above 85%, reducing temperature drops despite light northeasterly winds. Historical August minima average near 25°C, but recent days have featured minimal diurnal ranges due to overcast skies. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact rainfall timing, keeping 26°C and 27°C outcomes nearly tied in trader consensus while lower thresholds reflect downside risks if clearer skies emerge. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,297Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources project Shenzhen's overnight low on August 31 near 25–26°C, with some runs showing 27°C under sustained cloud cover and high dew points around 25°C that limit radiative cooling. Persistent moisture from regional monsoon patterns and scattered thunderstorms maintains elevated humidity above 85%, reducing temperature drops despite light northeasterly winds. Historical August minima average near 25°C, but recent days have featured minimal diurnal ranges due to overcast skies. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact rainfall timing, keeping 26°C and 27°C outcomes nearly tied in trader consensus while lower thresholds reflect downside risks if clearer skies emerge. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,297Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources project Shenzhen's overnight low on August 31 near 25–26°C, with some runs showing 27°C under sustained cloud cover and high dew points around 25°C that limit radiative cooling. Persistent moisture from regional monsoon patterns and scattered thunderstorms maintains elevated humidity above 85%, reducing temperature drops despite light northeasterly winds. Historical August minima average near 25°C, but recent days have featured minimal diurnal ranges due to overcast skies. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact rainfall timing, keeping 26°C and 27°C outcomes nearly tied in trader consensus while lower thresholds reflect downside risks if clearer skies emerge. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the minimum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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