Recent forecast model runs for Shenzhen on August 31 show highs clustering near 30–32°C amid widespread thunderstorms and heavy rainfall expected from monsoon moisture and convective activity. Persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain limit peak diurnal heating, creating tight uncertainty between 30°C and 31°C outcomes that together command nearly 70% of trader volume. Light northerly winds and high humidity further suppress temperature spikes, while any delay in the main rain band could allow brief clearing and a modest rebound toward 32°C. Historical late-August baselines for the region average around 31–32°C under similar patterns, yet model spread on precipitation timing keeps the market balanced ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 31 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 31 agosto?
31°C 35%
30°C 34%
29°C 19%
32°C 9%
NUOVO
$12,393 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,393 Vol.
31 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
19%
30°C
34%
31°C
35%
32°C
9%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 35%
30°C 34%
29°C 19%
32°C 9%
NUOVO
$12,393 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,393 Vol.
31 ago 2026
24°C or below
$568 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$516 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$516 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,235 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,587 Vol.
5%
29°C
$1,841 Vol.
19%
30°C
$1,604 Vol.
34%
31°C
$1,802 Vol.
35%
32°C
$539 Vol.
9%
33°C
$833 Vol.
4%
34°C or higher
$353 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Shenzhen on August 31 show highs clustering near 30–32°C amid widespread thunderstorms and heavy rainfall expected from monsoon moisture and convective activity. Persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain limit peak diurnal heating, creating tight uncertainty between 30°C and 31°C outcomes that together command nearly 70% of trader volume. Light northerly winds and high humidity further suppress temperature spikes, while any delay in the main rain band could allow brief clearing and a modest rebound toward 32°C. Historical late-August baselines for the region average around 31–32°C under similar patterns, yet model spread on precipitation timing keeps the market balanced ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$12,393Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Shenzhen on August 31 show highs clustering near 30–32°C amid widespread thunderstorms and heavy rainfall expected from monsoon moisture and convective activity. Persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain limit peak diurnal heating, creating tight uncertainty between 30°C and 31°C outcomes that together command nearly 70% of trader volume. Light northerly winds and high humidity further suppress temperature spikes, while any delay in the main rain band could allow brief clearing and a modest rebound toward 32°C. Historical late-August baselines for the region average around 31–32°C under similar patterns, yet model spread on precipitation timing keeps the market balanced ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,393Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs for Shenzhen on August 31 show highs clustering near 30–32°C amid widespread thunderstorms and heavy rainfall expected from monsoon moisture and convective activity. Persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain limit peak diurnal heating, creating tight uncertainty between 30°C and 31°C outcomes that together command nearly 70% of trader volume. Light northerly winds and high humidity further suppress temperature spikes, while any delay in the main rain band could allow brief clearing and a modest rebound toward 32°C. Historical late-August baselines for the region average around 31–32°C under similar patterns, yet model spread on precipitation timing keeps the market balanced ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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