**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily minimum of 24–25°C in Shenzhen on August 30, 2026, reflecting persistent subtropical monsoon conditions.** High humidity (often 85–95%), widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from falling sharply. Official and model guidance shows nighttime readings stabilizing near 26–27°C early in the period before any potential dip to the mid-20s under continued moist northeasterly flow. Historical August baselines for the region typically range 25–27°C for lows, and the absence of clear skies or a stronger northerly surge supports the narrow 24–25°C window dominating implied probabilities. Fresh model runs and real-time observations through the evening will refine whether the low settles at 25°C or edges to 24°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shenzhen il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shenzhen il 30 agosto?
24°C 35%
23°C or below 3%
26°C <1%
29°C <1%
$2,346 Vol.
$2,346 Vol.
30 ago 2026
23°C or below
3%
24°C
35%
25°C
65%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
24°C 35%
23°C or below 3%
26°C <1%
29°C <1%
$2,346 Vol.
$2,346 Vol.
30 ago 2026
23°C or below
$28 Vol.
3%
24°C
$29 Vol.
35%
25°C
$48 Vol.
65%
26°C
$791 Vol.
1%
27°C
$340 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$661 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$50 Vol.
1%
30°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$320 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily minimum of 24–25°C in Shenzhen on August 30, 2026, reflecting persistent subtropical monsoon conditions.** High humidity (often 85–95%), widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from falling sharply. Official and model guidance shows nighttime readings stabilizing near 26–27°C early in the period before any potential dip to the mid-20s under continued moist northeasterly flow. Historical August baselines for the region typically range 25–27°C for lows, and the absence of clear skies or a stronger northerly surge supports the narrow 24–25°C window dominating implied probabilities. Fresh model runs and real-time observations through the evening will refine whether the low settles at 25°C or edges to 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,346Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily minimum of 24–25°C in Shenzhen on August 30, 2026, reflecting persistent subtropical monsoon conditions.** High humidity (often 85–95%), widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from falling sharply. Official and model guidance shows nighttime readings stabilizing near 26–27°C early in the period before any potential dip to the mid-20s under continued moist northeasterly flow. Historical August baselines for the region typically range 25–27°C for lows, and the absence of clear skies or a stronger northerly surge supports the narrow 24–25°C window dominating implied probabilities. Fresh model runs and real-time observations through the evening will refine whether the low settles at 25°C or edges to 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,346Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily minimum of 24–25°C in Shenzhen on August 30, 2026, reflecting persistent subtropical monsoon conditions.** High humidity (often 85–95%), widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from falling sharply. Official and model guidance shows nighttime readings stabilizing near 26–27°C early in the period before any potential dip to the mid-20s under continued moist northeasterly flow. Historical August baselines for the region typically range 25–27°C for lows, and the absence of clear skies or a stronger northerly surge supports the narrow 24–25°C window dominating implied probabilities. Fresh model runs and real-time observations through the evening will refine whether the low settles at 25°C or edges to 24°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti