**Consistent official forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Station and supporting models show an overnight low near 27–28°C for August 30, 2026, under humid, cloudy conditions with light rain and southeasterly flow.** Recent station observations recorded minima around 27.5°C, aligning with the 98% market-implied probability for exactly 27°C as the daily low. High atmospheric moisture and limited nocturnal cooling under these patterns keep temperatures from falling further, consistent with late-summer baselines for the region. Realistic challenges include any last-hour forecast revisions from updated model runs, localized measurement variations at official stations, or unexpected intensification of showers that could briefly alter readings, though consensus across sources makes significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 30 agosto?
27°C 98%
25°C 3%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$12,783 Vol.
$12,783 Vol.
30 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
98%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 98%
25°C 3%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$12,783 Vol.
$12,783 Vol.
30 ago 2026
22°C or below
$103 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$108 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$108 Vol.
1%
25°C
$22 Vol.
3%
26°C
$635 Vol.
1%
27°C
$3,658 Vol.
98%
28°C
$6,488 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$266 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,168 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$118 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$108 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consistent official forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Station and supporting models show an overnight low near 27–28°C for August 30, 2026, under humid, cloudy conditions with light rain and southeasterly flow.** Recent station observations recorded minima around 27.5°C, aligning with the 98% market-implied probability for exactly 27°C as the daily low. High atmospheric moisture and limited nocturnal cooling under these patterns keep temperatures from falling further, consistent with late-summer baselines for the region.
Realistic challenges include any last-hour forecast revisions from updated model runs, localized measurement variations at official stations, or unexpected intensification of showers that could briefly alter readings, though consensus across sources makes significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,783Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consistent official forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Station and supporting models show an overnight low near 27–28°C for August 30, 2026, under humid, cloudy conditions with light rain and southeasterly flow.** Recent station observations recorded minima around 27.5°C, aligning with the 98% market-implied probability for exactly 27°C as the daily low. High atmospheric moisture and limited nocturnal cooling under these patterns keep temperatures from falling further, consistent with late-summer baselines for the region.
Realistic challenges include any last-hour forecast revisions from updated model runs, localized measurement variations at official stations, or unexpected intensification of showers that could briefly alter readings, though consensus across sources makes significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,783Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Consistent official forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Station and supporting models show an overnight low near 27–28°C for August 30, 2026, under humid, cloudy conditions with light rain and southeasterly flow.** Recent station observations recorded minima around 27.5°C, aligning with the 98% market-implied probability for exactly 27°C as the daily low. High atmospheric moisture and limited nocturnal cooling under these patterns keep temperatures from falling further, consistent with late-summer baselines for the region. Realistic challenges include any last-hour forecast revisions from updated model runs, localized measurement variations at official stations, or unexpected intensification of showers that could briefly alter readings, though consensus across sources makes significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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