Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs, and U.S. global models points to a Shanghai overnight low of 26–28 °C on 31 August, sustaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C (53.5 %) and 28 °C (43 %). Persistent southerly flow advects warm, moist air from the East China Sea while high humidity (85–93 %) and scattered clouds suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent observations from Pudong Airport and urban stations show the past three nights bottoming at 27–28 °C under similar regimes, with no frontal passage or stronger northerly winds expected before midnight on the 31st. Light rain chances may further limit temperature drops, keeping the distribution tightly clustered and leaving only modest probability for 26 °C or lower.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 31 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 31 agosto?
27°C 64%
28°C 31%
26°C 8%
31°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
8%
27°C
56%
28°C
41%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 64%
28°C 31%
26°C 8%
31°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
22°C or below
$58 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$262 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$117 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$591 Vol.
8%
27°C
$2,541 Vol.
56%
28°C
$1,821 Vol.
41%
29°C
$243 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$512 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$58 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs, and U.S. global models points to a Shanghai overnight low of 26–28 °C on 31 August, sustaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C (53.5 %) and 28 °C (43 %). Persistent southerly flow advects warm, moist air from the East China Sea while high humidity (85–93 %) and scattered clouds suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent observations from Pudong Airport and urban stations show the past three nights bottoming at 27–28 °C under similar regimes, with no frontal passage or stronger northerly winds expected before midnight on the 31st. Light rain chances may further limit temperature drops, keeping the distribution tightly clustered and leaving only modest probability for 26 °C or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$6,442Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs, and U.S. global models points to a Shanghai overnight low of 26–28 °C on 31 August, sustaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C (53.5 %) and 28 °C (43 %). Persistent southerly flow advects warm, moist air from the East China Sea while high humidity (85–93 %) and scattered clouds suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent observations from Pudong Airport and urban stations show the past three nights bottoming at 27–28 °C under similar regimes, with no frontal passage or stronger northerly winds expected before midnight on the 31st. Light rain chances may further limit temperature drops, keeping the distribution tightly clustered and leaving only modest probability for 26 °C or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,442Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs, and U.S. global models points to a Shanghai overnight low of 26–28 °C on 31 August, sustaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C (53.5 %) and 28 °C (43 %). Persistent southerly flow advects warm, moist air from the East China Sea while high humidity (85–93 %) and scattered clouds suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent observations from Pudong Airport and urban stations show the past three nights bottoming at 27–28 °C under similar regimes, with no frontal passage or stronger northerly winds expected before midnight on the 31st. Light rain chances may further limit temperature drops, keeping the distribution tightly clustered and leaving only modest probability for 26 °C or lower.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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