Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting ensemble models indicate overnight lows of 25–26°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 24, driven by elevated humidity near 90%, persistent cloud cover, and light southerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with a broader late-summer warm anomaly of 2–4°C above the seasonal baseline of roughly 22–23°C. Recent surface observations confirm minimal overnight drops, with traders assigning combined implied probability near 86% to the 25–26°C outcomes as model consensus narrows ahead of final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 24 agosto?
26°C 51%
25°C 37%
24°C 8%
27°C 7%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
8%
25°C
37%
26°C
51%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 51%
25°C 37%
24°C 8%
27°C 7%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
8%
25°C
37%
26°C
51%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting ensemble models indicate overnight lows of 25–26°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 24, driven by elevated humidity near 90%, persistent cloud cover, and light southerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with a broader late-summer warm anomaly of 2–4°C above the seasonal baseline of roughly 22–23°C. Recent surface observations confirm minimal overnight drops, with traders assigning combined implied probability near 86% to the 25–26°C outcomes as model consensus narrows ahead of final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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