Recent forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF for Incheon on August 25 indicate highs near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with a 30–50% chance of showers or drizzle and light westerly winds. These conditions, typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon influences, favor modest daytime heating compared with clearer recent days that reached 31–32°C. Historical averages for the date hover around 27°C, while elevated humidity and potential cloud cover reduce the likelihood of extremes above 32°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–31°C because short-term model consensus and observed trends support only marginal warming before any frontal passage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 25 agosto?
30°C 33%
31°C 27%
29°C 22%
28°C 11%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
11%
29°C
22%
30°C
33%
31°C
27%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 33%
31°C 27%
29°C 22%
28°C 11%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
11%
29°C
22%
30°C
33%
31°C
27%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF for Incheon on August 25 indicate highs near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with a 30–50% chance of showers or drizzle and light westerly winds. These conditions, typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon influences, favor modest daytime heating compared with clearer recent days that reached 31–32°C. Historical averages for the date hover around 27°C, while elevated humidity and potential cloud cover reduce the likelihood of extremes above 32°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–31°C because short-term model consensus and observed trends support only marginal warming before any frontal passage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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