Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate rain and heavy cloud cover persisting into August 3, which reduces daytime solar insolation and favors modestly lower minimum temperatures through increased longwave radiative cooling overnight. Seasonal outlooks point to normal-to-above-normal August temperatures overall, yet short-term model guidance highlights potential for localized cooling under prolonged precipitation and southeasterly flow, keeping daily minima near 25–27 °C on average. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 21 °C-or-below and 25 °C outcomes incorporates this uncertainty around steering patterns and any tropical disturbance influences, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the HKO headquarters. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin remain key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 3 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 3 agosto?
25°C 32%
26°C 20%
24°C 20%
27°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
9%
24°C
20%
25°C
32%
26°C
20%
27°C
13%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C o più
1%
25°C 32%
26°C 20%
24°C 20%
27°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
$42 Vol.
1%
22°C
$30 Vol.
7%
23°C
$21 Vol.
9%
24°C
$0 Vol.
20%
25°C
$0 Vol.
32%
26°C
$0 Vol.
20%
27°C
$0 Vol.
13%
28°C
$275 Vol.
8%
29°C
$47 Vol.
1%
30°C
$32 Vol.
1%
31°C o più
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate rain and heavy cloud cover persisting into August 3, which reduces daytime solar insolation and favors modestly lower minimum temperatures through increased longwave radiative cooling overnight. Seasonal outlooks point to normal-to-above-normal August temperatures overall, yet short-term model guidance highlights potential for localized cooling under prolonged precipitation and southeasterly flow, keeping daily minima near 25–27 °C on average. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 21 °C-or-below and 25 °C outcomes incorporates this uncertainty around steering patterns and any tropical disturbance influences, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the HKO headquarters. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$447Data di fine
3 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate rain and heavy cloud cover persisting into August 3, which reduces daytime solar insolation and favors modestly lower minimum temperatures through increased longwave radiative cooling overnight. Seasonal outlooks point to normal-to-above-normal August temperatures overall, yet short-term model guidance highlights potential for localized cooling under prolonged precipitation and southeasterly flow, keeping daily minima near 25–27 °C on average. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 21 °C-or-below and 25 °C outcomes incorporates this uncertainty around steering patterns and any tropical disturbance influences, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the HKO headquarters. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$447Data di fine
3 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate rain and heavy cloud cover persisting into August 3, which reduces daytime solar insolation and favors modestly lower minimum temperatures through increased longwave radiative cooling overnight. Seasonal outlooks point to normal-to-above-normal August temperatures overall, yet short-term model guidance highlights potential for localized cooling under prolonged precipitation and southeasterly flow, keeping daily minima near 25–27 °C on average. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 21 °C-or-below and 25 °C outcomes incorporates this uncertainty around steering patterns and any tropical disturbance influences, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the HKO headquarters. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin remain key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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