Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a peak temperature of 34–36°C for Tokyo on August 1, 2026, driven by a strong subtropical high maintaining a warm, humid air mass with daytime heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Historical August climatology centers near 31–32°C, but above-normal guidance this season reflects persistent high pressure and urban heat island amplification in the Tokyo metropolitan area, which can add 1–2°C to official station readings. Slight model spread in afternoon cloud cover, sea breeze timing, and any scattered showers creates the tight contest between 34°C and 35°C, with traders weighing the risk of modest cooling versus sustained insolation through peak heating hours. Updated JMA guidance and short-range model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 1° agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 1° agosto?
34°C 42%
35°C 33%
36°C 15%
33°C 9%
NUOVO
$35,797 Vol.
NUOVO
$35,797 Vol.
1 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
9%
34°C
42%
35°C
33%
36°C
15%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 42%
35°C 33%
36°C 15%
33°C 9%
NUOVO
$35,797 Vol.
NUOVO
$35,797 Vol.
1 ago 2026
29°C or below
$2,224 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,159 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,333 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$6,190 Vol.
2%
33°C
$3,188 Vol.
9%
34°C
$2,262 Vol.
42%
35°C
$2,635 Vol.
33%
36°C
$2,781 Vol.
15%
37°C
$3,196 Vol.
4%
38°C
$3,526 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$2,305 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a peak temperature of 34–36°C for Tokyo on August 1, 2026, driven by a strong subtropical high maintaining a warm, humid air mass with daytime heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Historical August climatology centers near 31–32°C, but above-normal guidance this season reflects persistent high pressure and urban heat island amplification in the Tokyo metropolitan area, which can add 1–2°C to official station readings. Slight model spread in afternoon cloud cover, sea breeze timing, and any scattered showers creates the tight contest between 34°C and 35°C, with traders weighing the risk of modest cooling versus sustained insolation through peak heating hours. Updated JMA guidance and short-range model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$35,797Data di fine
1 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a peak temperature of 34–36°C for Tokyo on August 1, 2026, driven by a strong subtropical high maintaining a warm, humid air mass with daytime heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Historical August climatology centers near 31–32°C, but above-normal guidance this season reflects persistent high pressure and urban heat island amplification in the Tokyo metropolitan area, which can add 1–2°C to official station readings. Slight model spread in afternoon cloud cover, sea breeze timing, and any scattered showers creates the tight contest between 34°C and 35°C, with traders weighing the risk of modest cooling versus sustained insolation through peak heating hours. Updated JMA guidance and short-range model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,797Data di fine
1 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a peak temperature of 34–36°C for Tokyo on August 1, 2026, driven by a strong subtropical high maintaining a warm, humid air mass with daytime heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Historical August climatology centers near 31–32°C, but above-normal guidance this season reflects persistent high pressure and urban heat island amplification in the Tokyo metropolitan area, which can add 1–2°C to official station readings. Slight model spread in afternoon cloud cover, sea breeze timing, and any scattered showers creates the tight contest between 34°C and 35°C, with traders weighing the risk of modest cooling versus sustained insolation through peak heating hours. Updated JMA guidance and short-range model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti