Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for July 31, 2026, centers the daily high in New York City near 84–85°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies with limited heating from the sun and a modest shower risk. This forecast consensus, reinforced by stable atmospheric conditions and typical mid-summer humidity patterns, has produced overwhelming trader alignment on the 84–85°F bin. Historical July averages hover near 85°F, providing climatological context, yet the tight clustering of outcomes reflects minimal expected deviation today. A sudden increase in cloud cover or earlier precipitation could cap temperatures lower, while clearer skies or delayed convection might allow a brief push into the upper 80s before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 31 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di New York il 31 luglio?
84-85°F 99.8%
86-87°F <1%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
$69,159 Vol.
$69,159 Vol.
31 lug 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 99.8%
86-87°F <1%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
$69,159 Vol.
$69,159 Vol.
31 lug 2026
75°F or below
$757 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$906 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,167 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$7,633 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$8,691 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$18,950 Vol.
100%
86-87°F
$12,350 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$10,180 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$2,586 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$2,801 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$3,785 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for July 31, 2026, centers the daily high in New York City near 84–85°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies with limited heating from the sun and a modest shower risk. This forecast consensus, reinforced by stable atmospheric conditions and typical mid-summer humidity patterns, has produced overwhelming trader alignment on the 84–85°F bin. Historical July averages hover near 85°F, providing climatological context, yet the tight clustering of outcomes reflects minimal expected deviation today. A sudden increase in cloud cover or earlier precipitation could cap temperatures lower, while clearer skies or delayed convection might allow a brief push into the upper 80s before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volume
$69,159Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for July 31, 2026, centers the daily high in New York City near 84–85°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies with limited heating from the sun and a modest shower risk. This forecast consensus, reinforced by stable atmospheric conditions and typical mid-summer humidity patterns, has produced overwhelming trader alignment on the 84–85°F bin. Historical July averages hover near 85°F, providing climatological context, yet the tight clustering of outcomes reflects minimal expected deviation today. A sudden increase in cloud cover or earlier precipitation could cap temperatures lower, while clearer skies or delayed convection might allow a brief push into the upper 80s before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$69,159Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for July 31, 2026, centers the daily high in New York City near 84–85°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies with limited heating from the sun and a modest shower risk. This forecast consensus, reinforced by stable atmospheric conditions and typical mid-summer humidity patterns, has produced overwhelming trader alignment on the 84–85°F bin. Historical July averages hover near 85°F, providing climatological context, yet the tight clustering of outcomes reflects minimal expected deviation today. A sudden increase in cloud cover or earlier precipitation could cap temperatures lower, while clearer skies or delayed convection might allow a brief push into the upper 80s before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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