Updated short-term forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a likely maximum of 25–27°C in London on August 1, driven by a mix of Atlantic airflow and variable cloud cover that limits surface heating while keeping conditions above seasonal averages. Recent model runs have converged on this range after earlier projections of potential 30°C+ heat were tempered by incoming fronts, reducing peak solar insolation and capping diurnal rise. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 26°C and 28.5% for 25°C aligns with these guidance trends and historical August baselines, though ensemble spread and timing of any late clearing introduce modest uncertainty around exact resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 1° agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 1° agosto?
26°C 56%
25°C 29%
27°C 16%
24°C 3%
NUOVO
$53,452 Vol.
NUOVO
$53,452 Vol.
1 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
29%
26°C
56%
27°C
16%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 56%
25°C 29%
27°C 16%
24°C 3%
NUOVO
$53,452 Vol.
NUOVO
$53,452 Vol.
1 ago 2026
21°C or below
$526 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,752 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,695 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,689 Vol.
3%
25°C
$10,020 Vol.
29%
26°C
$6,713 Vol.
56%
27°C
$5,584 Vol.
16%
28°C
$7,647 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,719 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,787 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$3,320 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Updated short-term forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a likely maximum of 25–27°C in London on August 1, driven by a mix of Atlantic airflow and variable cloud cover that limits surface heating while keeping conditions above seasonal averages. Recent model runs have converged on this range after earlier projections of potential 30°C+ heat were tempered by incoming fronts, reducing peak solar insolation and capping diurnal rise. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 26°C and 28.5% for 25°C aligns with these guidance trends and historical August baselines, though ensemble spread and timing of any late clearing introduce modest uncertainty around exact resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$53,452Data di fine
1 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Updated short-term forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a likely maximum of 25–27°C in London on August 1, driven by a mix of Atlantic airflow and variable cloud cover that limits surface heating while keeping conditions above seasonal averages. Recent model runs have converged on this range after earlier projections of potential 30°C+ heat were tempered by incoming fronts, reducing peak solar insolation and capping diurnal rise. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 26°C and 28.5% for 25°C aligns with these guidance trends and historical August baselines, though ensemble spread and timing of any late clearing introduce modest uncertainty around exact resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$53,452Data di fine
1 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Updated short-term forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a likely maximum of 25–27°C in London on August 1, driven by a mix of Atlantic airflow and variable cloud cover that limits surface heating while keeping conditions above seasonal averages. Recent model runs have converged on this range after earlier projections of potential 30°C+ heat were tempered by incoming fronts, reducing peak solar insolation and capping diurnal rise. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 26°C and 28.5% for 25°C aligns with these guidance trends and historical August baselines, though ensemble spread and timing of any late clearing introduce modest uncertainty around exact resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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