Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and international sources indicate a high near 28–29°C for Munich on August 1, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating from a stable high-pressure ridge. This positions the market-implied probabilities for 28°C (31.5%) and 29°C (35.5%) as closely matched outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact maximum readings influenced by urban heat-island effects versus official airport measurements. Historical August averages near 23–25°C provide context, yet recent model runs show modest warming from regional airflow patterns without significant advection of hotter air masses. Traders weigh these variables against potential afternoon convective cooling or measurement thresholds at resolution time.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Monaco di Baviera il 1° agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Monaco di Baviera il 1° agosto?
29°C 36%
28°C 32%
27°C 15.5%
30°C 12%
NUOVO
$61,920 Vol.
NUOVO
$61,920 Vol.
1 ago 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
16%
28°C
32%
29°C
36%
30°C
12%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
28°C 32%
27°C 15.5%
30°C 12%
NUOVO
$61,920 Vol.
NUOVO
$61,920 Vol.
1 ago 2026
26°C or below
$6,927 Vol.
4%
27°C
$6,640 Vol.
16%
28°C
$10,632 Vol.
32%
29°C
$9,504 Vol.
36%
30°C
$9,567 Vol.
12%
31°C
$8,990 Vol.
1%
32°C
$3,823 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,448 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$834 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,632 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,923 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and international sources indicate a high near 28–29°C for Munich on August 1, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating from a stable high-pressure ridge. This positions the market-implied probabilities for 28°C (31.5%) and 29°C (35.5%) as closely matched outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact maximum readings influenced by urban heat-island effects versus official airport measurements. Historical August averages near 23–25°C provide context, yet recent model runs show modest warming from regional airflow patterns without significant advection of hotter air masses. Traders weigh these variables against potential afternoon convective cooling or measurement thresholds at resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$61,920Data di fine
1 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and international sources indicate a high near 28–29°C for Munich on August 1, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating from a stable high-pressure ridge. This positions the market-implied probabilities for 28°C (31.5%) and 29°C (35.5%) as closely matched outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact maximum readings influenced by urban heat-island effects versus official airport measurements. Historical August averages near 23–25°C provide context, yet recent model runs show modest warming from regional airflow patterns without significant advection of hotter air masses. Traders weigh these variables against potential afternoon convective cooling or measurement thresholds at resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61,920Data di fine
1 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and international sources indicate a high near 28–29°C for Munich on August 1, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating from a stable high-pressure ridge. This positions the market-implied probabilities for 28°C (31.5%) and 29°C (35.5%) as closely matched outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact maximum readings influenced by urban heat-island effects versus official airport measurements. Historical August averages near 23–25°C provide context, yet recent model runs show modest warming from regional airflow patterns without significant advection of hotter air masses. Traders weigh these variables against potential afternoon convective cooling or measurement thresholds at resolution time.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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