Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum air temperature of 23°C on July 31, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reading reflects standard automatic weather station data at reference sites such as the Hong Kong Park, consistent with regional patterns of nocturnal cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of late July. Historical climatology shows average overnight lows near 26–28°C during this period, yet localized conditions including cloud cover and urban heat island effects can produce modest deviations of 2–3°C. Scenarios that could have altered the result, such as stronger monsoon surges or measurement revisions at multiple stations, did not materialize before the daily minimum was finalized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 31 luglio?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 31 luglio?
23°C 100.0%
22°C o inferiore <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$69,804 Vol.
$69,804 Vol.
31 lug 2026
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
23°C 100.0%
22°C o inferiore <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$69,804 Vol.
$69,804 Vol.
31 lug 2026
22°C o inferiore
$7,532 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$19,201 Vol.
100%
24°C
$11,282 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$17,295 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,322 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$6,380 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,001 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$599 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$374 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$374 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$1,445 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum air temperature of 23°C on July 31, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reading reflects standard automatic weather station data at reference sites such as the Hong Kong Park, consistent with regional patterns of nocturnal cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of late July. Historical climatology shows average overnight lows near 26–28°C during this period, yet localized conditions including cloud cover and urban heat island effects can produce modest deviations of 2–3°C. Scenarios that could have altered the result, such as stronger monsoon surges or measurement revisions at multiple stations, did not materialize before the daily minimum was finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$69,804Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum air temperature of 23°C on July 31, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reading reflects standard automatic weather station data at reference sites such as the Hong Kong Park, consistent with regional patterns of nocturnal cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of late July. Historical climatology shows average overnight lows near 26–28°C during this period, yet localized conditions including cloud cover and urban heat island effects can produce modest deviations of 2–3°C. Scenarios that could have altered the result, such as stronger monsoon surges or measurement revisions at multiple stations, did not materialize before the daily minimum was finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$69,804Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum air temperature of 23°C on July 31, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reading reflects standard automatic weather station data at reference sites such as the Hong Kong Park, consistent with regional patterns of nocturnal cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of late July. Historical climatology shows average overnight lows near 26–28°C during this period, yet localized conditions including cloud cover and urban heat island effects can produce modest deviations of 2–3°C. Scenarios that could have altered the result, such as stronger monsoon surges or measurement revisions at multiple stations, did not materialize before the daily minimum was finalized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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