Current Met Office and ECMWF model runs project a London maximum of exactly 25 °C for 31 July 2026, with afternoon observations aligning closely to this value under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds. This consensus outcome reflects verified surface data and ensemble agreement rather than speculative projections, producing the market’s near-100 % implied probability. Minor model spreads remain possible from localized urban heat-island effects or brief cloud breaks, yet none are expected to shift the daily high outside the 25 °C bin before evening cooling sets in.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 31 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 31 luglio?
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$140,088 Vol.
$140,088 Vol.
31 lug 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$140,088 Vol.
$140,088 Vol.
31 lug 2026
21°C or below
$1,577 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,076 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$18,887 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$26,445 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$34,681 Vol.
100%
26°C
$23,379 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$15,167 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$10,269 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,220 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$861 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$526 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office and ECMWF model runs project a London maximum of exactly 25 °C for 31 July 2026, with afternoon observations aligning closely to this value under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds. This consensus outcome reflects verified surface data and ensemble agreement rather than speculative projections, producing the market’s near-100 % implied probability. Minor model spreads remain possible from localized urban heat-island effects or brief cloud breaks, yet none are expected to shift the daily high outside the 25 °C bin before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$140,088Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Finestra di contestazione
Finale
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office and ECMWF model runs project a London maximum of exactly 25 °C for 31 July 2026, with afternoon observations aligning closely to this value under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds. This consensus outcome reflects verified surface data and ensemble agreement rather than speculative projections, producing the market’s near-100 % implied probability. Minor model spreads remain possible from localized urban heat-island effects or brief cloud breaks, yet none are expected to shift the daily high outside the 25 °C bin before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$140,088Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Finestra di contestazione
Finale
Current Met Office and ECMWF model runs project a London maximum of exactly 25 °C for 31 July 2026, with afternoon observations aligning closely to this value under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds. This consensus outcome reflects verified surface data and ensemble agreement rather than speculative projections, producing the market’s near-100 % implied probability. Minor model spreads remain possible from localized urban heat-island effects or brief cloud breaks, yet none are expected to shift the daily high outside the 25 °C bin before evening cooling sets in.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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