**Current forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and AccuWeather point to an overnight low near 27–28°C (roughly 81–83°F) for Shanghai on August 2, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 28°C (48.5%) and 27°C (23.5%).** Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically features August nighttime lows of 25–27°C, with high humidity and frequent cloud cover or showers moderating radiative cooling and keeping minimums elevated. Model consensus and recent updates emphasize persistent warm, moist air masses with light winds and possible late-day showers, which limit overnight drops. Day-to-day variability remains modest this close to the event, though any shift toward clearer skies or stronger advection could nudge the minimum slightly lower or higher within the narrow 26–29°C band that captures over 90% of implied probability. No major tropical systems or cold-air intrusions are indicated in the latest guidance, supporting the tight clustering around these values.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 2 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 2 agosto?
28°C 49%
27°C 24%
29°C 17%
26°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
24%
28°C
49%
29°C
17%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
28°C 49%
27°C 24%
29°C 17%
26°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
$254 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$197 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$157 Vol.
2%
26°C
$261 Vol.
3%
27°C
$851 Vol.
24%
28°C
$1,810 Vol.
49%
29°C
$291 Vol.
17%
30°C
$187 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$223 Vol.
1%
32°C
$244 Vol.
<1%
33°C o superiore
$409 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and AccuWeather point to an overnight low near 27–28°C (roughly 81–83°F) for Shanghai on August 2, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 28°C (48.5%) and 27°C (23.5%).** Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically features August nighttime lows of 25–27°C, with high humidity and frequent cloud cover or showers moderating radiative cooling and keeping minimums elevated.
Model consensus and recent updates emphasize persistent warm, moist air masses with light winds and possible late-day showers, which limit overnight drops. Day-to-day variability remains modest this close to the event, though any shift toward clearer skies or stronger advection could nudge the minimum slightly lower or higher within the narrow 26–29°C band that captures over 90% of implied probability. No major tropical systems or cold-air intrusions are indicated in the latest guidance, supporting the tight clustering around these values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,884Data di fine
2 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and AccuWeather point to an overnight low near 27–28°C (roughly 81–83°F) for Shanghai on August 2, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 28°C (48.5%) and 27°C (23.5%).** Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically features August nighttime lows of 25–27°C, with high humidity and frequent cloud cover or showers moderating radiative cooling and keeping minimums elevated.
Model consensus and recent updates emphasize persistent warm, moist air masses with light winds and possible late-day showers, which limit overnight drops. Day-to-day variability remains modest this close to the event, though any shift toward clearer skies or stronger advection could nudge the minimum slightly lower or higher within the narrow 26–29°C band that captures over 90% of implied probability. No major tropical systems or cold-air intrusions are indicated in the latest guidance, supporting the tight clustering around these values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,884Data di fine
2 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and AccuWeather point to an overnight low near 27–28°C (roughly 81–83°F) for Shanghai on August 2, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 28°C (48.5%) and 27°C (23.5%).** Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically features August nighttime lows of 25–27°C, with high humidity and frequent cloud cover or showers moderating radiative cooling and keeping minimums elevated. Model consensus and recent updates emphasize persistent warm, moist air masses with light winds and possible late-day showers, which limit overnight drops. Day-to-day variability remains modest this close to the event, though any shift toward clearer skies or stronger advection could nudge the minimum slightly lower or higher within the narrow 26–29°C band that captures over 90% of implied probability. No major tropical systems or cold-air intrusions are indicated in the latest guidance, supporting the tight clustering around these values.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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