Latest meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 1 point to a daily high near 35–36°C amid typical midsummer conditions of high humidity, light southerly winds, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that could moderate peak readings. National weather models and observational data align on this range, consistent with historical August averages of 30–32°C but elevated by recent warm advection. Traders appear to weight the 36°C outcome most heavily, reflecting consensus around these thresholds while assigning lower probability to 37°C or above due to storm timing uncertainties and cooling effects. Official updates from monitoring agencies on afternoon conditions remain the key near-term driver for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Pechino il 1° agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Pechino il 1° agosto?
36°C 53%
35°C 31%
37°C 13%
34°C 4%
NUOVO
$36,356 Vol.
NUOVO
$36,356 Vol.
1 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
31%
36°C
53%
37°C
13%
38°C or higher
2%
36°C 53%
35°C 31%
37°C 13%
34°C 4%
NUOVO
$36,356 Vol.
NUOVO
$36,356 Vol.
1 ago 2026
28°C or below
$1,381 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,199 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,008 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,364 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$6,569 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,285 Vol.
1%
34°C
$2,708 Vol.
4%
35°C
$2,089 Vol.
31%
36°C
$5,216 Vol.
53%
37°C
$2,477 Vol.
13%
38°C or higher
$1,060 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 1 point to a daily high near 35–36°C amid typical midsummer conditions of high humidity, light southerly winds, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that could moderate peak readings. National weather models and observational data align on this range, consistent with historical August averages of 30–32°C but elevated by recent warm advection. Traders appear to weight the 36°C outcome most heavily, reflecting consensus around these thresholds while assigning lower probability to 37°C or above due to storm timing uncertainties and cooling effects. Official updates from monitoring agencies on afternoon conditions remain the key near-term driver for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$36,356Data di fine
1 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 1 point to a daily high near 35–36°C amid typical midsummer conditions of high humidity, light southerly winds, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that could moderate peak readings. National weather models and observational data align on this range, consistent with historical August averages of 30–32°C but elevated by recent warm advection. Traders appear to weight the 36°C outcome most heavily, reflecting consensus around these thresholds while assigning lower probability to 37°C or above due to storm timing uncertainties and cooling effects. Official updates from monitoring agencies on afternoon conditions remain the key near-term driver for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,356Data di fine
1 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 1 point to a daily high near 35–36°C amid typical midsummer conditions of high humidity, light southerly winds, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that could moderate peak readings. National weather models and observational data align on this range, consistent with historical August averages of 30–32°C but elevated by recent warm advection. Traders appear to weight the 36°C outcome most heavily, reflecting consensus around these thresholds while assigning lower probability to 37°C or above due to storm timing uncertainties and cooling effects. Official updates from monitoring agencies on afternoon conditions remain the key near-term driver for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti