Recent forecast updates from meteorological agencies highlight increased cloud cover and scattered showers over the Sichuan Basin, tempering solar heating and supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C for Chengdu’s August 1 high. Subtropical monsoon influences, regional humidity near 80%, and basin topography that limits ventilation are key variables; modest differences in model consensus on timing of precipitation or wind shifts could easily separate these outcomes. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, yet current conditions favor the lower end of seasonal norms, with final resolution hinging on official observational maxima.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 1° agosto?
25°C 36%
26°C 33%
27°C 18%
28°C 10%
$35,634 Vol.
$35,634 Vol.
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
36%
26°C
33%
27°C
18%
28°C
10%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
25°C 36%
26°C 33%
27°C 18%
28°C 10%
$35,634 Vol.
$35,634 Vol.
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
36%
26°C
33%
27°C
18%
28°C
10%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from meteorological agencies highlight increased cloud cover and scattered showers over the Sichuan Basin, tempering solar heating and supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C for Chengdu’s August 1 high. Subtropical monsoon influences, regional humidity near 80%, and basin topography that limits ventilation are key variables; modest differences in model consensus on timing of precipitation or wind shifts could easily separate these outcomes. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, yet current conditions favor the lower end of seasonal norms, with final resolution hinging on official observational maxima.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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