Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and Trip.com indicate persistent cloud cover, showers, and flash flood risk over Chengdu on August 2, 2026, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime highs near 25°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on 24–26°C outcomes, as the market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values amid genuine uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity. The Sichuan Basin's topography enhances humidity and convective activity during the East Asian monsoon, often suppressing maximum temperatures below the seasonal 30–32°C average when rain is widespread. Key variables differentiating nearby thresholds include model runs on rainfall duration and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming spikes. Updated NWP guidance and local observations will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 2 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 2 agosto?
24°C 24%
26°C 21%
25°C 18%
28°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 ago 2026
19°C o inferiore
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
24%
25°C
18%
26°C
21%
27°C
11%
28°C
13%
29°C o superiore
9%
24°C 24%
26°C 21%
25°C 18%
28°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 ago 2026
19°C o inferiore
$221 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$203 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$218 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$594 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$677 Vol.
4%
24°C
$3,765 Vol.
24%
25°C
$1,039 Vol.
18%
26°C
$281 Vol.
21%
27°C
$516 Vol.
11%
28°C
$755 Vol.
13%
29°C o superiore
$1,240 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and Trip.com indicate persistent cloud cover, showers, and flash flood risk over Chengdu on August 2, 2026, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime highs near 25°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on 24–26°C outcomes, as the market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values amid genuine uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity. The Sichuan Basin's topography enhances humidity and convective activity during the East Asian monsoon, often suppressing maximum temperatures below the seasonal 30–32°C average when rain is widespread. Key variables differentiating nearby thresholds include model runs on rainfall duration and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming spikes. Updated NWP guidance and local observations will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$9,509Data di fine
2 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and Trip.com indicate persistent cloud cover, showers, and flash flood risk over Chengdu on August 2, 2026, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime highs near 25°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on 24–26°C outcomes, as the market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values amid genuine uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity. The Sichuan Basin's topography enhances humidity and convective activity during the East Asian monsoon, often suppressing maximum temperatures below the seasonal 30–32°C average when rain is widespread. Key variables differentiating nearby thresholds include model runs on rainfall duration and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming spikes. Updated NWP guidance and local observations will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,509Data di fine
2 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and Trip.com indicate persistent cloud cover, showers, and flash flood risk over Chengdu on August 2, 2026, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime highs near 25°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on 24–26°C outcomes, as the market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values amid genuine uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity. The Sichuan Basin's topography enhances humidity and convective activity during the East Asian monsoon, often suppressing maximum temperatures below the seasonal 30–32°C average when rain is widespread. Key variables differentiating nearby thresholds include model runs on rainfall duration and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming spikes. Updated NWP guidance and local observations will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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