Recent Houthi attacks on Saudi Aramco facilities and oil tankers in late July 2026, including strikes near Jizan and Yanbu that slowed Bab el-Mandeb traffic, form the core driver behind trader positioning on successful targeting of shipping. These actions, tied to a declared naval blockade of Saudi exports amid the broader Iran conflict, have prompted rerouting, elevated war-risk insurance premiums, and concerns over constrained Saudi crude flows. Oil price volatility has increased as markets price in potential supply disruptions, with tanker operators facing higher costs and delays through the strait. Key near-term catalysts include any Saudi naval response, further Houthi statements on fees or escalation, and shifts in regional hostilities that could alter maritime risk assessments through August.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGli Houthi mirano con successo alla spedizione su...?
Gli Houthi mirano con successo alla spedizione su...?
$68,465 Vol.
28 lug 2026
July 27
3%
July 28
32%
July 29
6%
30 luglio
2%
31 luglio
1%
1 agosto
18%
2 agosto
50%
3 agosto
13%
4 agosto
12%
5 agosto
14%
6 agosto
12%
7 agosto
30%
8 agosto
13%
9 agosto
11%
10 agosto
10%
11 agosto
10%
12 agosto
11%
13 agosto
19%
14 agosto
12%
15 agosto
8%
16 agosto
9%
17 agosto
10%
18 agosto
11%
19 agosto
25%
20 agosto
9%
21 agosto
12%
22 agosto
12%
23 agosto
14%
24 agosto
11%
25 agosto
9%
26 agosto
16%
27 agosto
16%
28 agosto
12%
29 agosto
9%
30 agosto
11%
31 agosto
6%
$68,465 Vol.
July 27
$1,420 Vol.
3%
July 28
$3,822 Vol.
32%
July 29
$1,709 Vol.
6%
30 luglio
$2,585 Vol.
2%
31 luglio
$2,125 Vol.
1%
1 agosto
$2,215 Vol.
18%
2 agosto
$1,502 Vol.
50%
3 agosto
$2,485 Vol.
13%
4 agosto
$578 Vol.
12%
5 agosto
$683 Vol.
14%
6 agosto
$872 Vol.
12%
7 agosto
$688 Vol.
30%
8 agosto
$706 Vol.
13%
9 agosto
$483 Vol.
11%
10 agosto
$298 Vol.
10%
11 agosto
$2,348 Vol.
10%
12 agosto
$623 Vol.
11%
13 agosto
$331 Vol.
19%
14 agosto
$1,278 Vol.
12%
15 agosto
$1,660 Vol.
8%
16 agosto
$1,818 Vol.
9%
17 agosto
$1,356 Vol.
10%
18 agosto
$406 Vol.
11%
19 agosto
$1,119 Vol.
25%
20 agosto
$2,472 Vol.
9%
21 agosto
$1,393 Vol.
12%
22 agosto
$64 Vol.
12%
23 agosto
$73 Vol.
14%
24 agosto
$330 Vol.
11%
25 agosto
$1,965 Vol.
9%
26 agosto
$230 Vol.
16%
27 agosto
$1,339 Vol.
16%
28 agosto
$674 Vol.
12%
29 agosto
$1,224 Vol.
9%
30 agosto
$1,593 Vol.
11%
31 agosto
$2,916 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.Recent Houthi attacks on Saudi Aramco facilities and oil tankers in late July 2026, including strikes near Jizan and Yanbu that slowed Bab el-Mandeb traffic, form the core driver behind trader positioning on successful targeting of shipping. These actions, tied to a declared naval blockade of Saudi exports amid the broader Iran conflict, have prompted rerouting, elevated war-risk insurance premiums, and concerns over constrained Saudi crude flows. Oil price volatility has increased as markets price in potential supply disruptions, with tanker operators facing higher costs and delays through the strait. Key near-term catalysts include any Saudi naval response, further Houthi statements on fees or escalation, and shifts in regional hostilities that could alter maritime risk assessments through August.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mercato aperto: Jul 23, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Volume
$68,465Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.Recent Houthi attacks on Saudi Aramco facilities and oil tankers in late July 2026, including strikes near Jizan and Yanbu that slowed Bab el-Mandeb traffic, form the core driver behind trader positioning on successful targeting of shipping. These actions, tied to a declared naval blockade of Saudi exports amid the broader Iran conflict, have prompted rerouting, elevated war-risk insurance premiums, and concerns over constrained Saudi crude flows. Oil price volatility has increased as markets price in potential supply disruptions, with tanker operators facing higher costs and delays through the strait. Key near-term catalysts include any Saudi naval response, further Houthi statements on fees or escalation, and shifts in regional hostilities that could alter maritime risk assessments through August.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Volume
$68,465Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Houthi attacks on Saudi Aramco facilities and oil tankers in late July 2026, including strikes near Jizan and Yanbu that slowed Bab el-Mandeb traffic, form the core driver behind trader positioning on successful targeting of shipping. These actions, tied to a declared naval blockade of Saudi exports amid the broader Iran conflict, have prompted rerouting, elevated war-risk insurance premiums, and concerns over constrained Saudi crude flows. Oil price volatility has increased as markets price in potential supply disruptions, with tanker operators facing higher costs and delays through the strait. Key near-term catalysts include any Saudi naval response, further Houthi statements on fees or escalation, and shifts in regional hostilities that could alter maritime risk assessments through August.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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