US strikes in mid-July 2026 targeted Iranian cruise missile storage, coastal defenses, and related military infrastructure on Greater Tunb Island amid escalation over Strait of Hormuz shipping routes, damaging operational capabilities without shifting on-ground control. Iran has administered the island as part of Hormozgan province and maintained IRGC military presence since its 1971 seizure, alongside Abu Musa and Lesser Tunb. The UAE continues to assert sovereignty claims rooted in pre-1971 Qasimi rule and receives diplomatic support from the GCC, EU, and others for bilateral talks or ICJ referral, while Iran rejects all such positions as unfounded. No occupying force or alternative authority has assumed primary governmental or military control, and no scheduled events in the near term indicate an imminent change.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa Grande Isola di Tunb non è più sotto il controllo iraniano da...?
La Grande Isola di Tunb non è più sotto il controllo iraniano da...?
$54,999 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 settembre
1%
$54,999 Vol.
30 settembre
$331 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.US strikes in mid-July 2026 targeted Iranian cruise missile storage, coastal defenses, and related military infrastructure on Greater Tunb Island amid escalation over Strait of Hormuz shipping routes, damaging operational capabilities without shifting on-ground control. Iran has administered the island as part of Hormozgan province and maintained IRGC military presence since its 1971 seizure, alongside Abu Musa and Lesser Tunb. The UAE continues to assert sovereignty claims rooted in pre-1971 Qasimi rule and receives diplomatic support from the GCC, EU, and others for bilateral talks or ICJ referral, while Iran rejects all such positions as unfounded. No occupying force or alternative authority has assumed primary governmental or military control, and no scheduled events in the near term indicate an imminent change.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volume
$54,999Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.US strikes in mid-July 2026 targeted Iranian cruise missile storage, coastal defenses, and related military infrastructure on Greater Tunb Island amid escalation over Strait of Hormuz shipping routes, damaging operational capabilities without shifting on-ground control. Iran has administered the island as part of Hormozgan province and maintained IRGC military presence since its 1971 seizure, alongside Abu Musa and Lesser Tunb. The UAE continues to assert sovereignty claims rooted in pre-1971 Qasimi rule and receives diplomatic support from the GCC, EU, and others for bilateral talks or ICJ referral, while Iran rejects all such positions as unfounded. No occupying force or alternative authority has assumed primary governmental or military control, and no scheduled events in the near term indicate an imminent change.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$54,999Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...US strikes in mid-July 2026 targeted Iranian cruise missile storage, coastal defenses, and related military infrastructure on Greater Tunb Island amid escalation over Strait of Hormuz shipping routes, damaging operational capabilities without shifting on-ground control. Iran has administered the island as part of Hormozgan province and maintained IRGC military presence since its 1971 seizure, alongside Abu Musa and Lesser Tunb. The UAE continues to assert sovereignty claims rooted in pre-1971 Qasimi rule and receives diplomatic support from the GCC, EU, and others for bilateral talks or ICJ referral, while Iran rejects all such positions as unfounded. No occupying force or alternative authority has assumed primary governmental or military control, and no scheduled events in the near term indicate an imminent change.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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